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Leak volume 7/143
              I-in.-diameter hole as the leak size. However, this would not   Materials
              adequately distinguish between a 36-in.-diameter pipeline and
              a 4-in.-diameter  pipeline. While  a 1-in. hole  in either might   When  different  materials  and  various  likely  failure  modes
              cause approximately the same spill or release (initially, at least),   are to be included in the risk analysis, the spill size factor of
              we intuitively believe that a 36-in.4iameter pipeline presents a   the  leak  impact  factor  can  be  adjusted.  Although  such  an
              greater hazard than does a4-in.-diameterpipeline, all other fac-   adjustment  is intended primarily to address widely different
              tors  being  equal.  This  is  no  doubt  because  a  much  greater   materials often encountered in a single distribution system, it
              release can occur from the 36-in.-diameter pipeline than from   can also he used to address more subtle differences in pipelines
              the 4-in. line.                            of basically  the  same  material  but  operated  under  different
               The hole size is determined by the failure mode, which in   conditions.  For  example,  a  higher  strength  steel  pipeline
              turn is a function of pipe material, stress conditions, and the   usually has slightly less ductility than Grade B steel and, when
              failure initiator.                         combined with factors such as changing stress levels and crack
               As an extreme example of failure mode, an avalanchefail-   initiators, this raises the likelihood of an avalanche-type line
              ure, is characterized by rapid crack propagation, sometimes for   break.
              thousands of feet along a pipeline, which completely opens the   An important difference lies in materials that are prone to
              pipe. Main contributing factors to an avalanche failure include   more consequential failure modes. A large leak area is usually
              low material  toughness  (a more  brittle  material  that  allows   characterized by the action ofa crack in the pipe wall. A crack is
              crack formation and growth), high stress level in the pipe wall   more able to propagate in a brittle material; that is, a brittle pipe
              (usually at the base of a crack), and an energy source that can   material is more likely to fail in a fashion that creates a large
              promote rapid crack growth (usually a gas compressed under   leak  area--equal  to or greater  than the pipe cross-sectional
              high pressure).                            area. This problem is covered in more detail in a discussion of
               In  many  applications,  a  risk  assessment  model  does  not   fracture mechanics in Chapter 5.
              attempt to distinguish  among likely failure modes-a   worst   The brittleness or ductility of a material is often expressed
              case scenario is often assumed for simplicity. Distinguishing   in combination  with its strength as a  material  toughness or
              between leak types adds a degree of complexity to the model;   fracture  toughness.  Important  material  factors  influencing
              however, the added information that is provided can be useful in   toughness  in  pipeline  steels  include  chemical  composition
              some cases. In a general sense, the leak size probabilities can   (percentage of carbon, manganese, phosphorus, sulfur, silicon,
              somewhat offset an otherwise higher consequence event. For   columbium,  and  vanadium),  deoxidization  practices,  cold
              example, a smaller diameter line more prone to large breakage   work, and heat treatments [65]. The challenge of gauging the
              can equal the consequences ofa larger line that is prone to small   likelihood of a more catastrophic failure mode is further com-
              pinhole leaks.                             plicated by the fact that some materials may change over time.
               A spill size probability distribution can be developed from   Given the right conditions, a ductile material can become more
              an examination of past releases. This is further  discussed in   brittle.
              Chapter 14.                                  Material toughness is an important variable in the potential
               We will assume, if only for the sake of simplification, that a   for certain failure modes. Even in the same material, slight dif-
              larger hole size leads to a larger leak and that a larger leak has the   ferences in chemical composition and manufacture can cause
              potential for more severe consequences. Of course, under the   significant  differences  in  toughness.  The  most  common
              right circumstances, a large- or small-area failure can be equally   methodused to assess material toughness is the Charpy V-notch
              consequential in the pipeline system. For example, amore ductile   impact test. This test has been shown to correlate well with frac-
              failure that allows only a minor pipe wall tear can leak undetected   ture mechanics in that test results above certain values ensure
              for long periods, allowing widespread migration of leaked prod-   that fatigue-cracked specimens will exhibit plastic behavior in
              uct. A more violent break of the pipe wall, on the other hand, may   failure.  Charpy-Izod  test results  for some common  pipeline
              cause a rapid depressurization and quick detection of the prob-   materials are shown inTable 7.3.
              lem. See also the discussion of leak detection in Chapters 7 and   The  ASTM has reported [7] that the tensile stress behavior of
              1 1 for more details regarding possible leak volumes.   steel is not well correlated with its behavior in notched impact
                Because of the many different materials and conditions that   tests such as the Charpy test. In other words, acceptable ductile
              may need to be compared when studying some pipeline  sys-   behavior seen in tension failures sometimes becomes unaccept-
              tems, a consideration can be included to allow for higher or   able brittle  behavior  under  notch  impact  failure  conditions.
              lower anticipated incidents of large openings in a pipe failure.   Therefore, specifying minimum material behavior under ten-
              One intent is to make a distinction between pipes more likely   sile stress will not ensure adequate material properties from a
              to fail in a catastrophic fashion. This is highly dependent on   fracture mechanics standpoint. Impact testing or some equiva-
              pipe material toughness. Where pipe material toughness is con-   lent of this is needed to ensure that material toughness proper-
              stant, changing pipe stress levels or initiating mechanisms will   ties are adequate. Until the last decade or so, material toughness
              govern.                                    or material ductility was not normally specified when pipe was
                Figure 7.5 shows a model of the interrelationships  among   purchased.
              some of the many factors that determine the type of pipeline   The rate of loading and the temperature are important param-
              leak that is likely. Initiating mechanisms that promote cracks   eters in assessing toughness. The likelihood of brittle  failure
              are more likely to lead to a large leak than are mechanisms that   increases  with  increasing  speed  of  deformation  and  with
              cause a pinhole-type leak. (See Chapter 5 for further discussion   decreasing  temperature. Below a  certain  temperature,  brittle
              on fracture mechanics and crack propagation.)   fracture will always occur in any material.
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