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Part III:  Case Study  2! 1


                        NB oi  -  (N  -  N p)B o  =  W e  -  W pB w


       The two unknowns in the equation are N and  W e.
             The  simplest  production  scenario  is  to  assume  that  water  influx  is
       negligible, that is, W e -  0. If we further  observe that water production W p is in-
       significant,  we have
                                         N  B
                                  N  =    p



       where B oi = 1.3473 RB/STB at P ( = 3935 psia. Oil FVF has been corrected for
       use in this calculation (see Chapter 20 for details). The corresponding  estimate
        for  OOIP is N  ~  1500 N p  with B 0  - B oi  ~  0.0009 RB/STB.  The results of  the
       calculation are presented in Table 21-1.
                                   Table 21-1
                         Results  Assuming No Water Influx
                Time    Pressure      B.         N ,       N
                (days)    (psia)   (RB/STB) (MSTB) (MMSTB)
                  91      3898       1.3482      46        69
                 183      3897       1.3482      91        136
                 274      3895       1.3482     137        205
                 365      3892       1.3483     183        274


       The value of/^increases  at each time. This implies that the material balance
       model  does not  account  for all  of  the pressure  support  and  suggests  that an
       aquifer  influx  model should be considered.
             If we use a volumetric estimate ofN,  namely N vol  = 8.5 MMSTB  from
       Chapter 21.1, we can calculate W e. Again recognizing that  W p  ~  0, the material
       balance equation becomes

                            W €  =  N(B oi  -  B o)  +  N pB 0

       Results of the calculation are shown in Table 21-2.
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