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279    Stress fields


               and pore pressure are obtained in the same well, the same formation and at the same
               depth.
                 Figure 9.7ais similar to Figure 9.5 as it compares predicted (using equation 4.45)
               and measured (from frac pack completions) values of the least principal stress in pro-
               ducing formations at a variety of depths. All of the data shown are from formations
               not affected by depletion or stress changes associated with poroelastic effects (as dis-
               cussed in Chapter 12). The figure illustrates frictional faulting theory (diagonal line)
               and provides a reasonable fit to some of the data, and a good lower bound for all of the
               data. Figure 9.7b shows measured least principal effective stress data as a function of
               the vertical effective stress for five deep-water fields in the Gulf of Mexico. As for the
               South Eugene Island field, the data come from undepleted sands from frac pack com-
               pletions. The magnitude of the least principal effective stress using frictional faulting
               theory (equation 4.45) with a coefficient of friction of 0.6 yields the line shown. As in
               SEI, frictional faulting theory provides a lower bound for the measured values but there
               is considerable variability in the magnitude of the effective least principal stress as a
               function of the vertical effective stress. If one were using equation (4.45)to estimate the
               maximum mud weight, frictional faulting theory would yield a conservative estimate
               of the least principal stress. In other words, one could drill with a mud weight corre-
               sponding to this pressure without fear of hydraulic fracturing and loss of circulation.
               However,inmanycasesthismayyieldamudweightthatistoolowtoachievethedesired
               degree of wellbore stability. This is discussed at greater length in Chapters 8 and 10.
                 The general observation, that the least principal stress measurements in the young,
               relatively uncemented sands of offshore Gulf of Mexico, are frequently higher than
               predicted by Coulomb faulting theory using µ = 0.6, was noted by Zoback and Healy
               (1984). There are several possible explanations of this. One possibility is that a coef-
               ficient of friction of 0.6 is too high for the faults in the region as the lithology is
               dominated by shale (e.g. Figure 2.6a). As mentioned in Chapter 6, Ewy, Stankowich
               et al.(2003) present laboratory data indicating that the effective coefficient of friction
               of shaley rocks is 0.2–0.3. While the measurements shown in Figure 9.7 were made
               in relatively clean sands, if the state of stress at depth was dominated by the frictional
               strength of the adjacent shales (because they compose most of the lithologic section) a
               lower coefficient of friction might be applicable.
                 Perhaps a more likely explanation of the relatively high values of the least principal
               stress observed in Figure 9.7 is related to the fact that the majority of these sands are
               essentially uncemented. Thus, if these sands exhibit the type of creep discussed in
               Chapter 4 for uncemented sands (Figure 3.11a, Table 3.2), it would be logical for creep
               to reduce the difference between the vertical stress and least principal stress over time.
               One reason this explanation is appealing with respect to the data shown in Figure 9.7 is
               that one would expect stress magnitudes to be consistent with Coulomb faulting theory
               in slightly cemented sands (where creep does not occur), but higher (even approaching
               the vertical stress) due to stress relaxation in uncemented sands.
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