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Chapter 7



                            Getting Ahead of the Learning


                        Curve with Nonlinear Regression






                      In This Chapter
                      ▶ Getting a feel for nonlinear regression
                      ▶ Making use of scatterplots
                      ▶ Fitting a polynomial to your data set
                      ▶ Exploring exponential models to fit your data




                                   n Stats I, you concentrate on the simple linear regression model, where you
                                Ilook for one quantitative variable, x, that you can use to make a good esti-
                                mate of another quantitative variable, y, using a straight line. The examples
                                you look at in Stats I fall right in line with this kind of model, such as using
                                height to estimate weight or using study time to estimate exam score. (For
                                more information and examples for using simple linear regression models,
                                see Chapter 4.)

                                But not all situations fall into the straight line category. Take gas mileage and
                                speed, for example. At low speeds, gas mileage is lower, and at high speeds,
                                gas mileage is lower; but at medium speeds, gas mileage is higher. This low-
                                high-low relationship between speed and gas mileage represents a curved
                                relationship. Relationships that don’t resemble straight lines are called
                                nonlinear relationships (clever, huh?). Looked at simply, nonlinear regression
                                takes the stage when you want to predict some quantitative variable (y) by
                                using another quantitative variable (x) but the pattern you see in the data
                                collected resembles a curve, not a straight line.
                                In this chapter, you see how to make your way around the curved road of
                                data that leads to nonlinear regression models. The good news is twofold:
                                You can use many of the same techniques you use for regular regression, and
                                in the end, Minitab does the analysis for you.













          12_466469-ch07.indd   115                                                                   7/24/09   9:39:07 AM
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