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L1592_Frame_C16  Page 143  Tuesday, December 18, 2001  1:51 PM









                       The t statistic is constructed assuming the null hypothesis to be true (i.e., η = η 0 ):

                                                                  y –
                                                     t 0 =  y –  η 0  ----------------
                                                          ---------------- =
                                                                     η 0
                                                           s y    s/ n
                       On the assumption of random sampling from a normal distribution, t 0  will have a t-distribution with
                                                                                                   y
                       ν = n − 1 degrees of freedom. Notice that t 0  may be positive or negative, depending upon whether   is
                       greater or less than η 0 .
                        For a one-sided test that η  > η 0  (or η < η 0 ), the null hypothesis is rejected if the absolute value of
                       the calculated t 0  is greater than t ν,α  where α is the selected probability point of the t distribution with ν =
                       n − 1 degrees of freedom.
                        For a two-sided test (η > η 0  or η < η 0 ), the null hypothesis is rejected if the absolute value of the
                       calculated t 0  is greater than t ν,α/2 , where α/z is the selected probability point of the t distribution with ν =
                       n − 1 degrees of freedom. Notice that the one-sided test uses t α  and the two-sided test uses t α /2 , where
                       the probability α is divided equally between the two tails of the t distribution.


                       Constructing the Confidence Interval
                       The (1 − α)100% confidence interval for the difference y η  is constructed using t distribution as follows:
                                                                 –

                                                              –
                                                   – t ν,a /2 s y <  y η  <  +t ν,a/2 s y
                       If this confidence interval does not include (y η 0 ) , the difference between the known and measured
                                                           –
                       values is so large that it is unlikely to arise from chance. It is concluded that there is a difference between
                       the estimated mean and the known value η 0 .
                        A similar confidence interval can be defined for the true population mean:

                                                   y –  t ν,a /2 s y <  η <  y +  t ν,a /2 s y

                       If the standard η 0  falls outside this interval, it is declared to be different from the true population mean
                       η, as estimated by  , which is declared to be different from η 0 .
                                      y


                       Case Study Solution
                       The concentration of the standard specimens that were analyzed by the participating laboratories was
                       1.2 mg/L. This value was known with such accuracy that it was considered to be the standard: η 0  =
                       1.2 mg/L. The average of the 14 measured DO concentrations is   = 1.4 mg/L, the standard deviation is
                                                                        y
                                                          = 0.083 mg/L. The difference between the known and
                       s = 0.31 mg/L, and the standard error is  s y
                       measured average concentrations is 1.4  − 1.2 = 0.2 mg/L. A t-test can be used to assess whether 0.2
                       mg/L is so large as to be unlikely to occur through chance. This must be judged relative to the variation
                       in the measured values.
                        The test t statistic is t 0  = (1.4  − 1.2)/0.083 = 2.35. This is compared with the t distribution with ν =
                       13 degrees of freedom, which is shown in Figure 16.1a. The values t = −2.16 and t = +2.16 that cut off
                       5% of the area under the curve are shaded in Figure 16.1. Notice that the α = 5% is split between 2.5%
                       on the upper tail plus 2.5% on the lower tail of the distribution. The test value of t 0  = 2.35, located by
                       the arrow, falls outside this range and therefore is considered to be exceptionally large. We conclude
                       that it is highly unlikely (less than 5% chance) that such a difference would occur by chance. The
                       estimate of the true mean concentration,   = 1.4, is larger than the standard value, η 0  = 1.2, by an amounty
                       that cannot be attributed to random experimental error. There must be bias error to explain such a large
                       difference.

                       © 2002 By CRC Press LLC
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