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CHAPTER 3 • THE EXTERNAL ASSESSMENT  65

              as much when the value of the dollar is low; rather, foreigners visit and vacation more
              in the United States.
                 A low value of the dollar means lower imports and higher exports; it helps U.S.
              companies’ competitiveness in world markets. The dollar has fallen to five-year lows
              against the euro and yen, which makes U.S. goods cheaper to foreign consumers and
              combats deflation by pushing up prices of imports. However, European firms such as
              Volkswagen AG, Nokia Corp., and Michelin complain that the strong euro hurts their
              financial performance. The low value of the dollar benefits the U.S. economy in many
              ways. First, it helps stave off the risks of deflation in the United States and also reduces the
              U.S. trade deficit. In addition, the low value of the dollar raises the foreign sales and prof-
              its of domestic firms, thanks to dollar-induced gains, and encourages foreign countries to
              lower interest rates and loosen fiscal policy, which stimulates worldwide economic expan-
              sion. Some sectors, such as consumer staples, energy, materials, technology, and health
              care, especially benefit from a low value of the dollar. Manufacturers in many domestic
              industries in fact benefit because of a weak dollar, which forces foreign rivals to raise
              prices and extinguish discounts. Domestic firms with big overseas sales, such as
              McDonald’s, greatly benefit from a weak dollar.
                 Between March and June 2009, the U.S. dollar weakened 11.0 percent against the euro,
              due to the growing United States debt, which may soon exceed $12 trillion. Table 3-3 lists
              some advantages and disadvantages of a weak U.S. dollar for American firms.
                 Rising unemployment rates across the United States have touched off a race among
              states to attract businesses with tax breaks and financial incentives. New Jersey has
              promised to send a $3,000 check to every small business that hires a new employee.
              Minnesota is offering tax-free zones for companies that create “green jobs.” Colorado has
              created a $5 million fund for banks that open credit lines for small businesses. To minimize
              risk in incentive deals, may states write in claw-back provisions that require companies to
              return funds if they fail to create the promised number of jobs.
                 The slumping economy worldwide and depressed prices of assets has dramatically
              slowed the migration of people from country to country and from the city to the suburbs.
              Because people are not moving nearly as much as in years past, there is lower and lower
              demand for new or used houses. Thus the housing market is expected to remain very slug-
              gish well into 2010 and 2011.



              TABLE 3-3   Advantages and Disadvantages of a Weak Dollar
                          for Domestic Firms
               Advantages                               Disadvantages
                1. Leads to more exports                1. Can lead to inflation
                2. Leads to lower imports               2. Can cause rise in oil prices
                3. Makes U.S. goods cheaper to foreign consumers  3. Can weaken U.S. government
                4. Combats deflation by pushing up prices   4. Makes it unattractive for Americans
                 of imports                               to travel globally
                5. Can contribute to rise in stock prices   5. Can contribute to fall in stock prices
                 in short run                             in long run
                6. Stimulates worldwide economic recession
                7. Encourages foreign countries to lower
                 interest rates
                8. Raises the revenues and profits of firms that
                 do business outside the United States
                9. Stimulates worldwide economic expansion
               10. Forces foreign firms to raise prices
               11. Reduces the U.S. trade deficit
               12. Encourages firms to globalize
               13. Encourages foreigners to visit the United States
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