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Chapter 22 • Life Cycle Analysis of Photovoltaics: Strategic Technology Assessment  437



                 Table 22.1  Description of the Three Technological Scenarios Under Investigation
                 Process Step        Module 1            Module 2            Module 3
                 Feedstock           Poly-Si                                 UMG-Si
                 Crystallization     Czochralski ingot growth                Seeded DS
                   Ingot yield       95%                 95%                 95%
                   Good Si out/Si in  85%                85%                 85%
                 Wafering            MWSS                Ion implantation    MWSS
                   Wafer thickness/µm  120               40                  120
                   Kerf loss         120                 0                   120
                   Yield             90%                 98%                 90%
                 Cell processing     IBC-HIT design, random pyramidal texture, plated   Metal wrap-through design,
                                      copper contacts                          random texture, front
                                                                               and rear passivation,
                                                                               plated copper contacts
                   Yield             99%                 99.5%               99%
                   Efficiency        23.5%               22.5%               20%
                 Module assembly     Frameless encapsulation without lamination foil, with all-rear low-stress interconnec-
                                      tion, and high packing density
                   Yield             99.5%               99.5%               99.5%
                   Efficiency        22%                 21%                 19%


                 22.6  Prospective Life Cycle Analysis of Future Designs

                 To get a sense of the environmental impacts of these modules mann, de-Wild, Fthenakis
                 et al. performed a prospective life cycle assessment [9]. Where LCA is normally performed
                 ex-post, ex-ante (before the event) the application is more challenging because of the need
                 for a consistent comparison with the incumbent technology, defining anticipated future
                 states of the technology under study, and properly addressing data quality and extrapola-
                 tion and characterizing uncertainty. These challenges are addressed below.
                   We used as a functional unit one square meter module area of each the three modules
                 introduced in the previous section; this allows for a direct comparison with the current
                 (incumbent) technologies. Our analysis focused only on the cradle-to-gate stages of the
                 modules, excluding the BOS and end-of-life stages.


                 22.6.1  Data Collection, Modeling, and Inventory Analysis

                 The life cycle inventory analysis is performed using the Ecoinvent database (version 2.2)
                 [12] for material and energy inputs. For electricity inputs we used the continental Europe-
                 an electricity mix (uCTE), which has a conversion efficiency of 0.31. The PE requirement
                 is calculated using the CEd method in units of mJ p .
                   In the inventory we have used as much original data as possible. As shown in Table 22.2, we
                 used new data from four different companies, and complemented that with data published in
                 literature and from the Ecoinvent database. In two cases, the heterojunction formation step
                 and conductive patterning of the back sheet data were unavailable and modeling was required.
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