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94     CHAPTER 3 Forecasting of Intermittent Solar Energy Resource


























                         FIGURE 3.9
                         Forecasting time horizon versus temporal resolution.
                         H.M. Diagne, M. David, P. Lauret, J. Boland, N. Schmutz, Review of solar irradiance forecasting methods and a
                                     proposition for small-scale insular grids, Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 27 (2013) 65e76.
                            Fig. 3.9 summarizes the best uses of the main existing methods (time seriese
                         based methods, NWP-based methods, satellite- and image-based methods) accord-
                         ing to the forecasting time horizon and the temporal resolution.
                            The existing methods can be classified in four different categories [30]:
                         (Fig. 3.10):






















                         FIGURE 3.10
                         Relation between forecasting horizons, forecasting models, and the related activities.
                         H.M. Diagne, M. David, P. Lauret, J. Boland, N. Schmutz, Review of solar irradiance forecasting methods and a
                                     proposition for small-scale insular grids, Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 27 (2013) 65e76.
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