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162  Chapter 5 Machine learning methods for robust parameter estimation










                                         Figure 5.1. A computational model f is a dynamic system that maps model input
                                         parameters x to model state (output) variables y. The goal of personalization is to
                                         tune x such that the objectives c, defined as the misfit between y and the
                                         corresponding measured data z of a given patient, are optimized (the misfit is
                                         minimized).


                                         sign of such methods is trial-and-error-driven and involves te-
                                         dious manual tuning, which results in methods that are model-
                                         specific rather than generic, and still do not necessarily ensure
                                         generalization to unseen data.
                                            Several machine learning techniques have been explored in the
                                         community to cope with the known limitations of optimization
                                         techniques. For instance, Jiang et al. [381] demonstrated a method
                                         to learn a mapping between body surface potentials maps and
                                         epicardial potentials, without requiring complex optimization
                                         procedures. Bayesian inference was also explored in [82]toesti-
                                         mate tissue conduction properties from invasive local activation
                                         time measurements. Finally, model reduction approaches as dis-
                                         cussed in the previous chapter were applied to estimate a signifi-
                                         cantly faster surrogate model, which was then applied to estimate
                                         model parameters and their uncertainty [201]. These techniques
                                         demonstrated superior computational efficiency compared to tra-
                                         ditional optimization approaches, and also the capability of pro-
                                         viding more information about the estimated parameters (such as
                                         uncertainty).
                                            On the other hand, when experienced humans are tasked with
                                         manually individualizing a model from patient data, they almost
                                         always succeed. There are several reasons why human experts are
                                         often superior to automatic methods. First, human experts often
                                         have the intuition of how a model behaves based on prior knowl-
                                         edge of the modeled physiology. Second, an expert usually knows
                                         the model design, assumptions, limitations and implementation
                                         details. Finally, experience built from past similar attempts on
                                         other datasets gives advantages. A combination of these and po-
                                         tentially other factors can enable a human expert to individualize
                                         models efficiently, even based on unseen data.
                                            Motivated by the promising results of machine learning ap-
                                         plied to parameter estimation, this chapter describes two ap-
                                         proaches applied to concrete cardiac modeling use cases: a su-
                                         pervised learning method based on polynomial regression to di-
                                         rectly estimate cardiac parameters from 12-lead ECG features, and
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