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116   Assurance of sterility for sensitive combination products and materials


          in this section. In layman’s terms, power can be defined simply as the abil-
          ity to detect an effect if there truly is one. For example, power is a mea-
          sure of the ability to demonstrate a process change lowered package seal
          strength if the change truly did lower seal strength. In statistical terms power
          is P(Rejecting H 0 |H 1  is true), where H 0  is the null hypothesis and H 1  is the
          alternative. Please refer to Moore et al. [91] for a more thorough treatment
          of hypothesis testing.
             A definition of the elements of power and sample size calculations is in
          Table 5.7.
             Typically, an alpha value is set at either 5% or 1% depending on the impact
          of falsely detecting an effect. The effect size is set from technical expectations
          or industry benchmarks. Power is typically set at 80% or 90% for the mini-
          mum effect size. Sample size is often limited due to the experimental budget
          in the form of cost and/or time. Care should be taken to obtain an estimate of
          the standard deviation from a random, representative historical sample.


          Table 5.7  Elements of a power calculation.
          Element                Description and examples
          α (alpha) or Type I Error   •  P(Rejecting H 0 |H 0  is true)
            Rate                 •  α can often be described as the chance of falsely
                                   detecting an effect.
                                 •  There is a 5% chance of falsely detecting the
                                   process change reduced seal strength
          Δ or Effect size       •  The minimum expected change
                                 •  The new package design should increase yield
                                   from 93% to 97%, an effect size of 4%.
          Power                  •  P(Rejecting H 0 |H 1  is true)
                                 •  Power can be described as the ability to detect an
                                   effect if there truly is one.
                                 •  There is an 80% chance of detecting a 2% increase
                                   in dye penetration from the old configuration to
                                   the new configuration.
          n or Sample size       •  The number of items to be tested.
                                 •  Note that many statistical software packages
                                   provide sample size in number per group versus
                                   the total sample size. Before implementing a test
                                   plan, verify whether the software supplies the total
                                   sample size or the sample size per group.
          Standard deviation     •  A measure of the spread of the data, typically
                                   obtained from historical experimentation or
                                   process operations.
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