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I60                         1 LIU AND H. ZENNER

            STATISTICAL EVALUATION

            As a check on the accuracy, the ratio x of the experimentally determined value to the calculated
            value of the fatigue limit is employed for such an evaluation:






               where o~,~? denotes  the  estimated average value  of  the  experimentally determined
            fatigue limit. For the calculation of  axd.cal in accordance with SM, the estimated average
            values of wand  OS&  are taken as a basis. At x = 1, the result of the calculation is equal to the
            experimental result. At x>l, the fatigue limit with the SM is underestimated; at 61, the fatigue
            limit is overestimated.
               The results of the above statistical evaluation are listed in Table 2 for different load cases:
            the average value  .Y  and the standard deviation s of the ratio x are shown. In the case of a
            correct prediction, the average value of the ratio x should be equal to about the unity and the
            standard deviation should be very small.

                         99.99
                          99.9
                                  182 test series          f
                            99
                            95
                       P
                      I%?  ;E  90

                            50
                            30
                            20
                            10
                             5
                             1
                             .l
                            .01






            Fig.  13. Comparison between the experimentally determined fatigue limit and the calculated
             one, as is predicted by the further-developed SM


               The results of  182 test  series with  a maximal  von  Mises  stress lower  than  1.1Rpo,2 are
             considered. The 130 test results from Fig. 3 for the load case where a normal stress and a shear
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