Page 153 - Business Plans that Work A Guide for Small Business
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144   •   Business Plans that Work



                Note that this is   the model to include annual increases in service prices. We
             also a critical risk that Dan   make the critical assumption that sales growth on all new
             d iscussed in the previous
             critical risk section of the   company stores and franchises will basically follow the growth
                   plan.
                                   curve experienced at existing locations.
                    Essentially, we are assuming that local managers and franchisees will be able to
                  perform at least as well as the company’s founders did, because they will have access
                  to all the systems developed and lessons learned over the last 15 years and are
                  motivated entrepreneurs. History has shown that franchisees typically perform at
                  about the same revenue levels of company stores but outperform company stores on
                  the bottom line. 2


                                   Established Company Stores (Syracuse and Madison)
              Red flag word. B asically
              same as “conservative.”   These locations’ year one revenues are their actual
             Don’t need this adjective.
                                   revenues from 2007 adjusted up by 20 percent. This
               We generally advise   20 percent increase is a cautious extrapolation from the
            that you provide an explana-  actual Syracuse and Madison revenues as of October 2008.
             tion as to why revenues will
              continue to grow. In the   The revenues at these two locations are then assumed
             Lazybones case, it could be
             a function of growing their   to increase by 10 percent each subsequent year of the
             client base or raising prices.   financial plan.
             In either event, 10 percent
            increases can’t go on forever.
             At some point, the stores
             would reach their capacity
             and either have to expand   New Company Stores (Boston, Boulder)
             or open a second location
                within that city.  We have created a five-year income (revenue and cost)
                  model (the model store) for all new Lazybones locations based on Syracuse’s
                  and Madison’s historical numbers. Since both Boston and Boulder will have been
                  in business for a full year by Fall 2009, their “first-year” revenue contributions to
                  the financial plan are based on the “second-year” numbers of this model store. In
                  other words, Boston and Boulder are treated as new locations that have already
                Be careful not to   been open a full year in “year one.”
             complicate the analysis and
             get diverted from the key
             message. In this case, the
             L azybones message is that
              the model is sound and
             can be scaled to a national   Future Company Stores
                   brand.
                  The same model used for the foregoing new company stores’ revenues is used
                  for all future company stores (i.e., company stores opened in year one or later of
                  the development plan). The correlation between model store year and financial




                  2 S. Spinelli, R. Rosenberg, and S. Birley, “Franchising: Pathway to Wealth Creation,” 2001.http://www.
                  amazon.com/s/?ie=UTF8&keywords=pathway+to+wealth+creation&tag=googhydr-20&index=
                  stripbooks&hvadid=3401380751&ref=pd_sl_41jsp1ooy6_b
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