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Production and Capital Cost Estimation                         39


            process units based on previous experience. If experience is lacking, Cevidalli and
            Zaidman [7] propose using Equation 2.1.


                   K     N
            L  =  ————  ——                                               (2.1)
                (l+p) n  m b



                 This  formula  is a modification  of a  formula  originally proposed by Wessel
            [8].  Cevidalli and Zaidman  [7] examined several processes to determine the effect
            of  production rate, process complexity, and degree of automation on the operating
            labor cost. In Equation 2.1,  L is the number of hours required to produce one kilo-
            gram of product.
                 The  process-productivity  factor,  K,  is  given  in  Table 2.4,  which  lists  three
            process  types:  batch,  continuous  (normally  automated),  and  continuous  (highly
            automated). According to Table 2.4,  a continuous, highly-automated process is the
            most efficient.  We expect that the operating efficiency  of the process will improve
            as engineers and technicians become more experienced in operating the plant. The
            improvement in operating efficiency  is the yearly fractional  increase in productiv-
            ity,  p.  The  base  year  for  computing  the  operating  labor  is  1952.  Thus,  n  is  the
            number of years since  1952.  By assuming that the fractional  increase in labor pro-
            ductivity  is 0.02, Cevidalli  and  Zaidman  [7]  found  that  the  calculated  operating
            labor using Equation 2.1 agrees with the actual labor requirement for several proc-
            esses by 40%.  This error is not unreasonable for an economic estimate.
                 Operating labor also depends on the the plant capacity, m, in kg/h.  Table 2.4
            shows  that  the  exponent,  b,  in  Equation  2.1  depends  on  the  plant  capacity.  The
            exponent is  0.76  if the plant capacity is less than 5670 kg/h  (12500  Ib/h)  and  0.84
            if  it  is greater than 5670  kg/h.  The  economy  of  scale  is  evident  in Equation  2.1,
            because the operating labor required to produce a kilogram of product decreases as
            the plant capacity increases. As shown in Table 2.1,  once we calculate the operat-
            ing labor we can calculate the operating supervision and maintenance labor.
                 The complexity of  a process, as determined by the number of process units,
            N,  also  affects  the  operating  labor  required.  The  greater  the  number  of  process
            units  the  more  complex  the  process  is  and  the  greater  the  operating  labor.  The
            number  of  process  units  is  the  most  difficult  term  to  evaluate  in  Equation  2.1.
            Bridgewater  [9]  defines  a significant process unit as a unit that achieves a chemi-
            cal  or  physical  transformation  of  major  process  streams  or  any  substantial  and
            necessary side streams. Examples of  process units are fractionation  and filtration.
            Use the following guidelines for determining the number of process units:

            1. Ignore the size of a process unit and multiple process units of the same type in
              series, such as the number of evaporators for multi-effect  evaporation or the
              number of Continuously Stirred Tank Reactors (CSTRs).




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