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198     PART III • Orbital-Scale Climate Change


        In contrast, most of the tropics and all of the southern  A long sediment core from a lake in the eastern
        hemisphere lie beyond the immediate reach of ice sheet  Colombian Andes of South America shows cyclic alter-
        rearrangements of atmospheric winds, according to gen-  nations between pollen produced by trees and by high-
        eral circulation model experiments. Yet many climatic  mountain grasslands (Figure 11–11). Dating of this
        records from these regions show climatic responses  record by radiocarbon analysis, volcanic ash layers, and
        surprisingly similar to those near the ice sheets.  magnetic reversals indicates that the major pollen fluc-
                                                            tuations occurred at a period near 100,000 years. Tree
                                                            pollen increased during interglaciations, while grass
                                   Colombia, South America  pollen increased during glaciations, the same kind of
                      Ice volume        % tree pollen
                   Max         Min                          pattern shown by pollen records in Europe. A marine
                  0                 0        50      100    sediment core from east of New Zealand contains a
                                                            similar history of variations between tree pollen and
                                                            mountain grassland types (Figure 11–12). In this case,
                                       Trees                because both the marine δ O signal and the terrestrial
                                                                                  18
                                                            pollen signal are recorded in the same core, correlating
                                                Grass
                                                            them is not a problem. The southern pollen response
            200,000                                         resembles the northern ice sheet signal.
                                                               This persistence of a saw-toothed oscillation at
                                                            ~100,000 years extending into the tropics and well into
                                                            the southern hemisphere is a surprise. These responses
                                                            cannot be “ice-driven,” at least not in the sense of being
                                                            created by changes in atmospheric winds. They also
            400,000
                                                            cannot be produced by fluctuations in the Antarctic ice
                                                            sheet, which already covers 97% of the continent
          Years ago                                         during the present warm interglacial interval and which
                                                            cannot have covered a much larger area during full-
                                                            glacial climates. Antarctic ice expanded to the continen-
            600,000                                         tal margins uncovered by falling sea level (because of
                                                            water trapped in northern ice sheets), but no major
                                                            expansion in Antarctic ice volume occurred.
                                                               Another possibility that has been considered by sev-
                                                            eral scientists is that these oscillations developed inde-
                                                            pendently somewhere in the southern hemisphere or in
            800,000                                         the tropics and that they then played a role in forcing
                                                            the northern ice sheet response. The most commonly
                                                            cited mechanism is changes in carbon dioxide produced
                                                            in some way by the ocean. The problem with this expla-
                                                            nation is that the CO lead relative to ice volume is only
                                                                              2
                                                            ~2000 years (Chapter 10), too small a lead to be inter-
                                                            preted in terms of a forcing-and-response relationship
                                                            (Box 11–1).

                                                            11-4 How Is the Northern Ice Signal Transferred
                                                            South?
                                                            The opposite possibility is that the saw-toothed oscilla-
                                                            tion at ~100,000 years originates in the northern ice
                                                            sheets and is transferred south. But if this transfer can-
                                                            not occur through changes in atmospheric circulation
         FIGURE 11-11 Vegetation response in South America A
         long lake core from the eastern Andes Mountains in Colombia  (see Figure 11–4), how does it happen?
         shows major shifts between forest and grassland pollen that  One possible mechanism is changes in sea level
         match 100,000-year glacial-interglacial ice volume changes in  tied to storage and release of ocean water in the north-
         the northern hemisphere. (Adapted from H. Hooghiemstra  ern ice sheets. Changes in sea level affect climate in
         et al., “Frequency Spectra and Paleoclimatic Variability of the  coastal regions that are alternately flooded and exposed
         High-Resolution 30–1450 Kyr Funza I Pollen Record,” Quaternary  by vertical movements of shallow seas (Chapter 5).
         Science Reviews 12 [1993]: 141–56.)                Climates in and near such areas may vary between
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