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CHAPTER 11 • Orbital-Scale Interactions, Feedbacks, and Unsolved Problems  193


            N                                               some cooling even as far east as the interior of Eurasia
           90°                                              (Figure 11–3B). Precipitation in these chilled regions
                                                            falls significantly because the colder ocean gives off
           70°                                              less water vapor to the atmosphere. This experiment
                                                            indicates that an ice sheet signal initially transferred
           50°                                              to the North Atlantic would then be transferred to
                                                            Europe and even Asia. Both signal transfers would have
           30°                                              occurred with lags of no more than a few centuries.
                                                               How far east the ice sheet signal might penetrate into
                                                            Asia is not entirely clear. The Siberian high-pressure
           10°
                                                            center, which even now is the winter season center of
           W 80°    40°     0°     40°     80°    120°E     cooling and powerful winds in northern Asia (companion
         A  Input to model: Colder sea surface temperatures (°C)  Web site, p. 21), plays an important role. Model experi-
                                                            ments indicate that the Siberian High would have been
                       0 to –4  –4 to –8  > –8
            N                                               strengthened in winter and would have lasted for a
           90°                                              longer part of the year in a world with ice sheets present.
                                                               These model experiments indicate that ice sheets
           70°                                              have a large downstream climatic impact across a broad
                                                            area of the northern hemisphere at high and middle lat-
           50°                                              itudes (Figure 11–4). The effects reach farthest south
                                                            during winter because of very strong wind flow during
                                                            that season. In summer, wind strength drops and local
           30°
                                                            heating of the land by the Sun becomes more important.
                                                               In the northern tropics and subtropics, the second
           10°                                              fundamental tempo of global climate change exists—the
          W 80°     40°     0°     40°     80°    120°E     orbitally driven monsoon circulations. These changes
         B  Output from model: Colder air temperatures (°C)  are dominated by the 23,000-year precession cycle,
                                                            compared to the predominant ice volume responses
        FIGURE 11-3 Surface-ocean sensitivity test Sensitivity tests  at 41,000 and ~100,000 years. In summer, these local
        with a GCM show that (A) inserting cold ocean temperatures  changes in solar radiation heating overwhelm the weaker
        into an interglacial world (B) produces colder air temperatures  message sent out by the ice sheets. Monsoon-related
        over Europe and Asia. (Adapted from D. Rind et al., “The  variations can also be found in the southern subtropics
        Impact of Cold North Atlantic Sea-Surface Temperatures on  (Chapter 8).
        Climate: Implications for the Younger Dryas,” Climate Dynamics 1  The southern hemisphere lies entirely outside the
        [1986]: 3–33.)
                                                            region under the direct influence of northern ice sheets
                                                            on atmospheric circulation. Tests with general circula-
        Atlantic Ocean to near-glacial values north of 20°N  tion models show that the presence of large masses of
        (Figure 11–3). The rest of Earth’s surface was left in its  ice in high northern latitudes has no significant effect
        current state, with no ice sheets except the small one  on temperatures anywhere in the southern hemisphere.
        now on Greenland.                                   This conclusion pertains only to transfers that occur
           The model simulation shows that the cold North   through the physical circulation of the atmosphere by
        Atlantic sea surface projects very cold air temperatures  winds and pressure fields. We will see later that other
        downwind to the western maritime parts of Europe and  means of transferring northern signals southward exist.









                                                                               FIGURE 11-4 Regions of
                                                                               ice-driven responses High and
                                                                               middle latitudes of the northern
                                                                               hemisphere show evidence of climate
                                                                               responses controlled by changes in
                                                                               the sizes of ice sheets.
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