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            052184472Xc09  CUNY148/Severini  June 2, 2005  12:8





                                                    9.4 Watson’s Lemma                       275

                                              m           m          j
                                        ¯           j  j        j  c j 2 2   m
                                       h(u) =    c j 2 2 u 2 +  (−1) √  + O u 2
                                                                   (2u)
                                              j=0         j=0
                                                                                .
                                               m


                                                    1     1       m
                                               2
                                            =    2  j+ 2 c 2 j u  j−  2 + O u 2  as u → 0 +
                                              j=0
                        It follows from Watson’s lemma that
                                                    m
                               T          n        	  2    c j 2  j+  1 2  ( j + 1/2)     1
                                h(t)exp − t 2  dt =            1     + O    m     as n →∞.
                             −T           2        j=0     n  j+  2        n 2  +1
                          Now suppose that T 1 > T 0 . Then

                             T 1         n          T 0         n         T 1         n
                               h(t)exp − t 2  dt =    h(t)exp − t 2  dt +   h(t)exp − t 2  dt
                                         2                      2                     2
                            −T 0                   −T 0                   T 0
                                                    T 0         n                 T
                                                                                   2
                                                =     h(t)exp − t 2  dt + O exp −  0  n  .
                                                                2                 2
                                                   −T 0
                        The result now follows as above.
                          Finally, suppose that T 0 > T 1 . Since
                                                   n  2                    n  2
                                       T 1                    T 0

                                         h(t)exp − t   dt =     h(−t)exp − t    dt,
                                                   2                       2
                                      −T 0                   −T 1
                        the argument given above applies here as well, with h 1 in place of h, where h 1 (t) = h(−t).
                        Clearly, h 1 has the same expansion as h, with coefficients ¯ c j ,given by

                                                       c j  if j is even
                                                 ¯ c j =              .
                                                       −c j  if j is odd
                        The result now follows from the fact that the expansion of the integral depends only on c 2 j ,
                        j = 0, 1,....



                        Example 9.7 (Expected value of a function of a normal random variable). Let X denote
                                                                                   −1
                        a random variable with a normal distribution with mean 0 and variance n ; for instance,
                        X may be a sample mean based on n independent identically distributed standard normal
                        random variables. Let h denote a function satisfying the conditions of Corollary 9.1 for any
                        m = 1, 2,... and consider E[h(X)]. In particular, assume that
                                                          ∞   ( j)
                                                             h (0)  j
                                                   h(t) =         t .
                                                               j!
                                                          j=0
                          Note that
                                                     √
                                                      n    ∞           n  2
                                          E[h(X)] = √        h(t)exp − t   dt.
                                                     (2π)              2
                                                          −∞
                        Hence, it follows immediately from Corollary 9.1 that, as n →∞,
                                      √     ∞   (2 j)   1            ∞   (2 j)  j
                                        n      h  (0)2  j+  2  ( j + 1/2)     h  (0)2  ( j + 1/2) 1
                            E[h(X)] ∼ √                    1      =                       j  .
                                       (2π)         (2 j)!n  j+  2         (2 j)! (1/2)  n
                                            j=0                      j=0
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