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            052184472Xc09  CUNY148/Severini  June 2, 2005  12:8





                            280                       Approximation of Integrals

                            Theorem 9.15. Consider the integral

                                                  b
                                           I n =   h(y)exp{ng(y)} dy, −∞ < a < b ≤∞
                                                a
                            where
                               (i) g is twice differentiable on [a, b)
                               (ii) h is differentiable on [a, b)
                              (iii) g is maximized at y = a
                              (iv) g (y) < 0 for all a ≤ y < b and h(a)  = 0.

                            Then
                                                        h(a) 1        −1
                                          I n = exp{ng(a)}     [1 + O(n )] as n →∞.
                                                       −g (a) n

                            Proof. Note that
                                     b                              b
                                     h(y)exp{ng(y)} dy = exp{ng(a)}  h(y)exp{−n[g(a) − g(y)]} dy.
                                   a                              a
                            Consider the change-of-variable u ≡ u(y) = g(a) − g(y); note that, since g is strictly
                            decreasing, u is a one-to-one function of y. Also note that u(a) = 0.
                              It follows that
                                        b                             u(b)
                                                                         h(y(u))
                                        h(y)exp{−n[g(a) − g(y)]} dy =           exp{−nu} du

                                      a                              0   g (y(u))
                                                                     u(b)

                                                                         ¯
                                                                 ≡      h(u)exp{−nu} du.
                                                                     0
                            Under the conditions on h and g,
                                                   ¯
                                                         ¯
                                                  h(u) = h(0) + O(u)as u → 0
                            and, hence, by Watson’s lemma,
                                           u(b)                   1
                                                              ¯
                                             ¯
                                                                         −2
                                             h(u)exp{−nu} du = h(0)  + O(n )as n →∞.
                                         u(a)                     n
                            The result now follows from the fact that
                                                               h(a)
                                                        ¯
                                                        h(0) =      .
                                                              −g (a)

                            Example 9.11 (Pareto distribution). Let Y denote a real-valued random variable with an
                            absolutely continuous distribution with density
                                                               α
                                                      p(y; α) =   , y ≥ 1;
                                                              y α+1
                            here α> 0isa parameter. This is a Pareto distribution. Consider an approximation to
                                      2
                            E[log(1 + Y ); α] for large values of α.
                              We may write
                                               ∞            α          ∞  log(1 + y )
                                                                                 2
                                      2                  2
                             E[log(1 + Y ); α] =  log(1 + y )  α+1  dy = α         exp{−α log(y)} dy.
                                              1            y           1      y
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