Page 394 - Fundamentals of Reservoir Engineering
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NATURAL WATER INFLUX                                   329

                     in which the cumulative gas production G p is constrained to meet a fixed market offtake
                     rate. The methods of Hurst and van Everdingen and Fetkovitch will be described
                     separately.

                     a) Hurst and van Everdingen

                                           p  i
                                 pressure

                                                              p n-2
                                                                *   p n-1  p n
                                                                    *

                                                                         T



                                                               n-2  n-1  n          time

                     Fig. 9.18  Predicting the pressure decline in a water drive gas reservoir

                     Fig. 9.18 illustrates the situation. Up to time level n - 1 everything has been determined
                     and the water influx up to this point has been correctly included in the material balance.
                     The next step is the determination of p n, the current reservoir pressure at the end of the
                      th
                     n  time interval, that is at time T. The water influx is then

                                  n1
                                   −
                           W =   U    ∆ p W T −  t  j D  )                                          (9.17)
                             e
                                        j
                                          D
                                           ( D
                              n
                                   j0
                                   =
                     which may be expanded as
                                  n2
                                   −
                                                       ∆
                           W =   U    ∆ p W T −  t  j D  )  + U p W T − t D n 1 )                   (9.34)
                                        j
                                           ( D
                                                              D
                                          D
                                                          n 1
                                                               ( D
                             e
                                                           −
                              n
                                   j0                                  −
                                   =
                     and, using equ. (9.16)
                                  p   − p
                                    −
                           ∆ p n1  =  n2  n
                              −
                                     2
                     equ. (9.34) may be written as
                                  n2                  U
                                   −
                           W =   U    ∆ p W T −  t  j D  )  +  (p n 2  − p n  ) W T − t D n 1  )    (9.35)
                                                                    D
                                                                     ( D
                                           ( D
                                          D
                                        j
                             e
                                                           −
                              n
                                   j0                 2                     −
                                   =
                     In this equation there are only two unknowns  W and p . These two are also related
                                                                    n e    n
                     through the material balance
                              p    p     G           W E
                                                      e
                                                         i
                                          p
                                   i
                                           n
                                                       n
                                 =    1−          1−                                                (9.36)
                              Z  n    Z i    G        G
                     A convenient way of solving equs. (9.35) and (9.36) is by the iterative method shown in
                     fig. 9.19. The sequence of steps during any time period may be described as follows.
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