Page 244 - Geochemical Anomaly and Mineral Prospectivity Mapping in GIS
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246                                                             Chapter 7

             of mineral deposits (e.g., Cox and Singer, 1986; Roberts et al., 1988; Berger and Drew,
             2002) and their tectonic environments (e.g., Mitchell and Garson, 1981; Sawkins, 1989;
             Pirajno, 1992; Robb, 2004) is therefore essential in the wildcat methodology of modeling
             mineral prospectivity as well as in the other techniques for knowledge-driven modeling
             of mineral prospectivity.


             CONCLUSIONS
                Several techniques for knowledge-driven modeling of mineral prospectivity exist. All
             the techniques demonstrated here are aided by a GIS in terms of creating and integrating
             evidential  maps and evaluating the  performance of mineral prospectivity  maps. It is
             better to  use  multi-class evidential maps than  binary evidential maps in modeling  of
             mineral prospectivity. Representation and incorporation of evidential uncertainty, as in
             evidential belief modeling, result in better predictive models of mineral prospectivity, at
             least in the case study area. The performance of knowledge-driven mineral prospectivity
             maps depends chiefly on the subjective nature of expert judgments that are applied in
             creating evidential maps and/or in integrating evidential maps. Therefore, depending on
             the technique applied, deriving an  optimum knowledge-driven  predictive model of
             mineral prospectivity entails trial-and-error or comparative analysis by (a) adjustment of
             evidential scores of classes in evidential maps, (b) adjustment of evidential map weights
             and/or (c) adjustment of inference networks for combining evidential maps.
                Despite the  subjectivity of ‘expert’  knowledge applied in  knowledge-driven
             modeling of mineral prospectivity, the techniques demonstrated here are useful in first-
             pass assessments of mineral prospectivity of greenfields geologically permissive areas
             where no or very few mineral deposits of interest are known to occur. This is further
             demonstrated  by the  results of the application of  the knowledge-guided data-driven
             wildcat technique  of mineral prospectivity, which is  based  on  generic knowledge of
             geological environments of  mineral deposits rather than on  knowledge of empirical
             spatial associations between mineral deposits  of the type sought and indicative
             geological features. However, because  of the subjective  nature of  ‘expert’  knowledge
             applied in knowledge-driven or knowledge-guided data-driven modeling of mineral
             prospectivity, it is obligatory to evaluate performance of derived mineral prospectivity
             maps. It is possible to do so in cases where a few occurrences of mineral deposits of
             interest are known, but it is difficult, if not impossible, to do so in cases where there are
             no  known  occurrences of mineral deposits of interest. In any case, the quality and
             quantity of exploration  data that are available in greenfields geologically permissive
             areas also influence the quality of a knowledge-driven model of mineral prospectivity.
             Presumably, more and better data allow  better expert judgments  in creating and
             integrating evidential maps of mineral prospectivity.
                Knowledge-driven modeling of mineral prospectivity is also applicable in relatively
             well-explored areas where the objective is to find new exploration targets for mineral
             deposits of the type sought in the presence of several discovered mineral deposits of the
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