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Resource Assessments                                                        123


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            much as ca. 70,000 m . This hypothetical example provides insight into the importance of having
            data that provide constraints on the extent of the temperature distribution in the subsurface. In the
            absence of well-defined constraints, it is important to understand what the limitations of a dataset
            may be and to consider the implications for the accuracy of the assessments.
              In many cases, there may be little or no subsurface data available from a drilling and  exploration
            program although evidence may exist that a geothermal reservoir is present. The presence of a flow-
            ing hot spring is an example of such an occurrence. Strategies for dealing with instances in which
            subsurface information is inadequate have been developed for some geological settings that allow
            conservative estimates to be made of reservoir volume. One example of such a strategy comes from
            the current resource assessment being developed by the United States Geological Survey (Williams
            et al. 2008a). In the Great Basin of the western United States there occur hot springs that emanate
            along so-called range-front faults. Range-front faults occur where a large basin kilometers in width
            forms by subsidence of a block of continental crust. The block of subsiding crust is bounded by
            faults that dip at steep angles. The faults are exposed at the surface of the Earth along the base
            of ranges that develop on either side of the subsiding basin. It is because of this topographical
              arrangement that these are called range-front faults. It is relatively common for springs to form
            along these faults.
              The springs are fed by water that has circulated deep into the Earth and emerged along the fault.
            The faults are high permeability pathways because repeated movement along the fault crushes the
            rock into a permeable fault zone. Fluids circulating deep in the basins escape upward through these
            high permeability zones. Often the springs are warm or hot because their waters have circulated to
              relatively deep levels where temperatures in excess of 200°C occur.
              Williams et al. (2008a) note that such fault zones have high permeability regions (damage
            zones) that may be between 100 and 500 m wide. Using the fluid chemistry, as described in
            Chapter 6, it is possible to compute a water temperature that should approximate the temperature
            of the hydrothermal reservoir. Using that temperature and the measured water temperature of the
            spring, a range for the maximum circulation depth of the spring can be determined if the local
            geothermal  gradient is approximately known. Since the geothermal gradients has been measured
            in a wide range of  settings within the Basin and Range province, usually for academic research
            efforts, it is possible to compute various possible depths for the reservoir, thus giving bounds
            on the vertical dimension of the reservoir. The horizontal dimension is less well constrained.
            In their assessment, Williams et al. (2008a) note that geological evidence and comparison with
            other geothermal systems that have been developed in this type of setting suggest the horizontal
            extent, running more or less parallel to the range-front fault, is between 1 and 5 km, with a most
            likely value of about 2 km. The resulting dimensions allow a range of reservoir volumes to be
            computed. Statistical analyses or Monte Carlo simulations then allow most likely reservoir vol-
            umes to be computed.
              Many instances of geothermal springs, however, do not occur in regions where there exists
            sufficient  geological  information  to  allow  such  an  “argument  by  analogy”  approach.  For  those
            instances, an assessment can only be based on knowledge and experience of geologists that has
            been developed through years of studying such systems. Generally, such ambiguous occurrences
            are treated as systems deserving of further study and are not directly incorporated into rigorous
            assessments.

            esTablIshInG The reserVoIr heaT conTenT

            As is evident from Figure 7.2, the heat content and the reservoir volume are intimately related.
            For  example,  the  reservoir  volume  computed  in  the  Tiwi  example  above  was  approximately
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            42,000 m  within the region existing at temperatures above 250°C. The reservoir volume, how-
            ever, would more than double if the lower temperature limit for the reservoir were selected to
            be 150°C.
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