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60                           Geothermal Energy: Renewable Energy and the Environment




                                 0


                                 5

                                10

                              Depth (km)  15


                                20

                                25

                                30


                                35
                                –21     –19     –17     –15    –13     –11
                                                           2
                                              Log permeability (m )
            FIGUre 4.8  The variation of permeability with depth. For reference, the depth of the deepest drilled well in
            the world is also portrayed. (From Manning, C. E. and Ingebritsen, S. E., Reviews of Geophysics, 37, 127–50,
            1999.)

            where C is an empirical constant that is characteristic of the material under consideration. The
            values for a  are strongly dependent upon the roughness, tortuosity, and other properties of the
                      c
            dominant fracture set and must be estimated.
              For geothermal resources at depths greater than about a kilometer, permeability is much more
            difficult to estimate. A variety of studies have used empirical data and model results that have greatly
            improved our understanding of how permeability changes with depth. In Figure 4.8 these results
            are presented to a depth of 35 km (modified from Manning and Ingebritsen 1999). At depths less
            than 5 km, the effective permeability can vary by up to six orders of magnitude, making it virtually
            impossible to develop predictive models that are sufficiently precise to allow useful estimates of how
            well a site may perform, without some reliable data set from sampling in the field. At deeper levels,
            the range in uncertainty diminishes, primarily because the elevated temperatures and pressures are
            sufficient to overcome the effects of heterogeneous distribution of the intrinsic rheological properties
            of the rocks. As pressures increase, weak fractures are closed and pore space is reduced by compres-
            sion, resulting in a more restricted range of permeability values.
              Also shown in the figure is the depth reached by the deepest well yet drilled. This well was
            drilled  offshore  Qatar  in  2008,  and  reached  a  depth  of  more  than  12,290  meters.  The  deepest
            onshore borehole drilled reached 12,261 meters in the Kola peninsula. Geothermal wells generally
            are shallower than 5 km, although the future development of Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS;
            see Chapter 14) will likely achieve greater depths. Clearly, for the foreseeable future geothermal
            applications will require field tests and measurements, rather than a priori estimates, in order to
            establish the actual permeability that can be achieved at any given site.

            hydroloGIc properTIes oF real GeoThermal sysTems

            The fluid flow properties of real geothermal systems have been summarized by Björnsson and
            Bodvarsson  (1990)  who  surveyed  published  data  on  geothermal  power  plants.  Their  results
            (Figure 4.9) highlight several key points regarding experience in the power generation industry.
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