Page 106 -
P. 106

80  •  Green Project Management



                                   Sensitivity Analysis for wind farm
                                        (Tornado Diagram)
                      Factor
                     Cost per turbine
                     Market share


                     Licensing issues

                     Launch date

                     Cost reductions

                     Average wind speed




                     $40  $60   $80  $100  $120  $140  $160  $180  $200
                                        NPV in $M


             Figure 5.4
             Sensitivity analysis for wind farm.
             Sustainable Communities Conference in Dallas, Texas. The purpose of
             the cost-benefit analysis was to show that the additional effort required to
             install new or retrofit existing roofs to make them cooler (therefore more
             energy efficient) would be offset by savings. Along with adding insula-
             tion, the recommendation included the installation of light-colored roofs.
             According to the presentation, light-colored roofs keep buildings cooler,
             thereby reducing air-conditioning costs, reducing the need for carbon-
             based  fuels  for  electrical  generation,  inhibiting  the  formation  of  smog,
             reducing Urban Heat Island,  and also reducing the thermal cycling effect
                                      5
             on the life span of the roof. The cost-benefit analysis took into consider-
             ation four scenarios: strip retail, three- to five-story office building, apart-
             ment building, and a typical unconditioned warehouse space. Two cost
             aspects were considered, capital investment (comparison of roof costs ver-
             sus life expectancy) and operational (energy) costs. The resulting analysis
             showed that, assuming a 15-year life for the roof, a 20% premium in cost,
             R-11 insulation for a retrofit, and R-19 for a new installation, the savings
             would be as shown in Table 5.1.
              The cost-benefit analysis was an ideal place to include all of the green
             components. However, only one of the three components was actually
   101   102   103   104   105   106   107   108   109   110   111