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                 302    Chapter Eight


                                                             widescale destruction of wetland habitat can occur,
                                                             as illustrated graphically by the Florida Everglades
                                                             (Box 8.6).



                                                             8.5 Climate change and groundwater resources

                                                             The global climate is undoubtedly changing. Instru-
                                                             mental records dating back to 1860 show that the
                                                             globally averaged surface air temperature has risen
                                                             by about 0.6°C since the beginning of the twentieth
                                                             century, with about 0.4°C of this warming occurring
                                                             since the 1970s (Fig. 8.15). The year 1998 was the
                                                             warmest year recorded and 2003 the third warmest.
                                                             Globally, the 1990s were the warmest decade in the
                                                             last 100 years and it is likely that the last 100 years was
                                                             the warmest century in the last millennium (Hulme
                                                             et al. 2002). Other evidence for changes in global clim-
                                                             ate include more intense rainfall events over many
                                                             Northern Hemisphere mid- to-high latitude land areas
                                                             and a near world-wide decrease in mountain glacier
                                                             extent and ice mass.
                                                               In central England, the thermal growing season for
                                                             plants has lengthened by 1 month since 1900 and win-
                                                             ters over the last 200 years have become wetter relat-
                                                             ive to summers throughout the United Kingdom.
                                                             Also, a larger proportion of winter precipitation in all
                                                             regions now falls on heavy rainfall days than was the
                                                             case 50 years ago. Around the United Kingdom, and
                                                             adjusting for natural land movements, average sea
                                                             level is now about 10 cm higher than the level in 1900
                                                             (Hulme et al. 2002).
                                                               Climate change is influenced by both natural and
                                                             human causes. The Earth’s climate varies naturally as
                                                             a result of interactions between the ocean and atmo-
                                                             sphere, changes in the Earth’s orbit, fluctuations in
                                                             incoming solar radiation and volcanic activity. The
                                                             main human cause is probably the increasing emis-
                                                             sions of ‘greenhouse’ gases such as carbon dioxide,
                                                             methane, nitrous oxide and chlorofluorocarbons.
                 Fig. 8.14 Simple hydrogeological classification of wetland types.  9  −1
                                                             Currently, about 6.5 × 10 ta of carbon are emitted
                 (a) Surface runoff is fed by rainfall and collects in a topographic
                                                             globally into the atmosphere, mostly through the
                 hollow (for example, valley bottom, pingo or kettle hole)
                 underlain by a low permeability layer. (b) Rainfall recharge to   burning of fossil fuels. Changes in land use, including
                 an unconfined aquifer supports a wetland in a region of low  the clearance of tropical rainforest, contribute a fur-
                 topography and groundwater discharge. (c) Superficial deposits,     9  −1
                                                             ther net emission of 1–2 × 10 ta . Increasing con-
                 both unconfined and semiconfined, and underlain by a low
                                                             centrations of ‘greenhouse’ gases in the atmosphere
                 permeability layer, contribute groundwater seepage in addition to
                                                             in the last 200 years (Table 8.2) have trapped outgo-
                 surface water runoff. (d) Surface water runoff is in addition to
                 artesian groundwater discharge from a semiconfined aquifer.  ing long-wave radiation in the lower atmosphere,
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