Page 338 - Improving Machinery Reliability
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304   Improving Machinery Reliability

                      One issue that is hidden in Figures 5-17 and 5-19 raises its head in Figure 5-18.
                    It’s the cost of electrical power to drive the pump. Power consumed is a direct result
                    of  work performed,  energy  lost  in inefficient  motordbearing, and energy  lost in
                    pump dynamics. Energy savings by use of high efficiency motors can save 2%-5%
                    of the total  power cost, and choosing high-efficiency  internals  for the pumps  can
                    save 5%-10% of the total power cost. In short, purchase high-efficiency motors and
                    high-efficiency  internals  carefully matched to the task  to achieve a short payback
                    period. If pump internals were selected for 80% pump efficiency rather than the 70%
                    efficiency used for the calculations, the lower power consumed would be US$16,500
                    * (70%/80%) = $14,438, which results in a savings of US$2,062 each year, or about
                    equal  to all  maintenance labor efforts spent to correct failures! The point  is this:
                    Examining cost-reduction possibilities by use of LCC details can be productive for
                    discovering real savings opportunities rather than following the old recipes. In short,
                    creating  wealth  for shareholders  often means stop doing some things the old way
                    and start doing new things in smarter ways.
                      Using  the overall  ANSI pump failure rates  and a mission time of one year, the
                    reliability at the end of one year is calculated as 37% (which is about the same as
                    saying one pump in three will operate for a one-year interval without some type of
                    failure). The chance for failure-free intervals is low. Much of this poor reliability is
                    driven by how the pump is operated. Optimum conditions are rarely achieved in pro-
                    duction plants because of variations in operating conditions and operating styles,
                      Figure 5-20 illustrates the sensitivity of pump reliability to pump curves and other
                    well-known  problems.  The shape of  the reliability  curve is dependent  upon many
                    pump features and operating conditions. Figure 5-21 shows other possible sensitivity
                    studies that combine multiple features.
                      Of course, the effectiveness equation offers good information because the largest
                    single variable is reliability. The other components of the effectiveness equation in
                    Table 5-18 have minor variations.
                      The life cycle cost shown in Figure 5-22 is the NPV result of the alternatives to
                    put LCC into business terms. The shape of the curve is decided by selection of alter-
                    natives and cost drivers.
                    Step 10 Study Risks of  High  Cost Items and Occurrences. Failure  data is
                    available from many sources to test whether the assumptions  made in the analysis
                    are valid or if unusual risks have been taken with numbers used in the study. Consid-
                    er the failure rate values given in Table 5-19.
                      An example of the conversion from failure rates to mean time between failures is:

                      MTBF = U((4E-06 failures/hour) * (8760 hourdyear)) = 28.5 years

                      Compare Table 5-19 to Table 5-12 and Table 5-14 for ANSI pumps and the data
                    look comparable except that the failure rate for impellers may have been selected too
                    high and thus the MTBF is lower than shown in Table 5-19. Let local operating con-
                    ditions and experience decide  the correct value.  When  comparing  Table 5-19 to
                    Table 5-16 for the API pump, the results look okay.
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