Page 240 - Intelligent Digital Oil And Gas Fields
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190                                       Intelligent Digital Oil and Gas Fields


          •  tubing leak,
          •  viscous fluids friction,
          •  electrical issue.
          They linked these conditions to the signal of the pump using the matrix illus-
          trated in Table 5.4.
             By definition, fuzzy logic techniques assume that all the conditions could
          occur without exception but in different levels or degree. However, to cal-
          ibrate the fuzzy logic, ESP experts use weight factors to assign important
          contributions of developing signs: it is to alert that a pump malfunctioning
          is in progress. In other words, the ESP experts assign arbitrary but relative
          weight values per condition. For example:

          Signal      Intake  Current   Motor        Pressure  Liquid  Total
          Condition   Pressure  Amperage  Temperature  Discharge  Rate

          Gas         0.2     0.25      0.1          0.25      0.2     1.0
          interference


          The expert considers that if signals such as intake pressure, current amperage,
          pressure discharge, and liquid rate decrease and MT increases, it is inferred
          that “gas interference” condition can occur with a 20% chance affected by
          intake pressure, 25% chance affected by current amperage, 10% chance by
          MT, 25% by pressure discharge, and 20% by liquid rate. The results are mul-
          tiplied by the expected   signal. If a signal does not behave as expected, the
          value is rejected. It only sums those signals that follow the pattern. The cal-
          culation is repeated for other conditions at different times. The condition
          that gets the maximum index closest to 1.0 or larger than 0.63 is used as
          the most likely index, between 0.33 and 0.63 is used as a possible condition,
          and between 0.0 and 0.33 is assigned as unlikely and discarded from the
          action plan. Table 5.5 shows an example of a calculation for gas interference.



          Table 5.4 Matrix to Link Signal Conditions to Contributing Factors
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