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Workflow Automation and Intelligent Control                  189


                                          Flowing BHP, psi
                     0       500      1000     1500     2000     2500     3000
                   0
                         THP
                                                          Model pump gradient
                Pump depth, TVD ft 1000             Error Model and Sensor 5% PDP
                                                          Sensores
                 2000
                 3000
                 4000

                 5000                       PIP      fBHP
                                                       Extrapolated from VLP
                 6000
              Fig. 5.21 ESP gradient plot showing in real time three sensors (THP, PDP, and PIP) and a
              model plot (shown in a line) showing the error between the model and sensors. Extrap-
              olated f BHP is also shown.

              (unmatched process), a quick diagnostic should be provided, for
              example:
              •  Misfit between VFM and test rate is high. Suggestion: check the produc-
                 tivity index or conduct a buildup test to evaluate the current reservoir
                 pressure and skin factor.
              •  Misfit between PDP-PIP Model and PDP-PIP Sensor . Review the wear fac-
                 tor of the pump. Check changes with fluid viscosity and API.
              •  Misfit between calculated and extrapolated PIP and f BHP . Calibrate the
                 multiphase flow correlation, friction, and gravitational parameters.

              5.6.4 Smart Diagnostics

              The traditional ESP/PCP diagnostics in real time uses a physical model to
              evaluate the range of operations that are commonly designed for steady-state
              condition, where reservoir pressure is not changing. A smart diagnostic not
              only uses artificial components such as fuzzy logic and neural networks to
              predict in advance any ESP/PCP troubleshooting or malfunctioning of
              pumps, but also uses field statistical data and expert rules to generate optimi-
              zation in real time. Working with Al-Jasmi et al. (2013e), a fuzzy logic algo-
              rithm was created to predict pump malfunction for 7, 15, 30, and 90days
              ahead of current production. The fuzzy logic was combined with expert rule
              to diagnose and rank the following pump conditions:
              •  pump wear factor,
              •  solid plugged intake,
              •  gas interference and blocking,
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