Page 281 - Introduction to Mineral Exploration
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264   B. SCOTT & M.K.G. WHATELEY



                  former, is it for an operational or an administr-  environmental sensitivities will need to be
                  ative group? External readers could be a gov-  identified. The project should indicate its
                  ernment department, prospective investors, or  potential to produce enhanced value (NPV, see
                  banks that may loan money for the project.  section 11.4.3) when compared to other poten-
                                                              tial investments.
                  11.4.1 Conceptual study
                                                              11.4.2  Order-of-magnitude study
                  Most successful exploration programs start at
                  this study level. A conceptual study establishes  An order-of-magnitude study is normally a
                  the likely presence of a resource. This estimate  fairly low cost assessment. However, the cost
                  may be only preliminary, but is the first step to  of order-of magnitude studies is increasing over
                  defining an inferred resource as classified by  the years, as companies have to address risks
                  the JORC code. It is based upon the interpreta-  earlier in the process. The study is based upon
                  tion of the size, shape and grade of the potential  limited drilling and other sample collection
                  resource and the possible mining and process-  to establish whether there could be a viable
                  ing methods. The resource estimate may only  project that would justify the cost of progress-
                  be based upon reference to deposits of similar  ing to a pre-feasibility study. The results define
                  genesis and size and may only be an office-  the presence of sufficient inferred resources to
                  based evaluation. There might be sufficient  warrant further work. Mineralogical studies at
                  indications of tonnage and grade to encourage  this stage will identify undesirable elements
                  further work. It is important to identify poten-  and other possible metallurgical issues. These
                  tial issues, such as access, topographical, or  resources should define sufficient tonnage
                  mining lease constraints.                   above a given cut-off grade to enable engineers
                    During the study similar deposits elsewhere  to determine possible mining options and pro-
                  will be used as the basis to establish whether  duction rates and thus the preliminary size of
                  their mining or processing methods are tech-  mining and processing equipment. Social and
                  nically feasible on your deposit. Infrastructure  environmental baseline studies will be initi-
                  and engineering requirements will be costed  ated. Preliminary capital and operating costs
                  to ±35%, although estimates will be too unreli-  can be established to somewhere in the region
                  able to attach confidence limits. Estimates can  of  ±30%. Financial modeling of options and
                  be calculated from empirical factors and com-  sensitivities will be undertaken.
                  parison with similar operations, or in a mine
                  extension, current and historical statistics and
                  costs are immediately relevant and the accu-  11.4.3  Pre-feasibility study
                  racy of such estimates may be within ±10%.  The aim of the pre-feasibility study is to evalu-
                  Such projects also follow the study definitions  ate the various options and possible combina-
                  process.                                    tions of technical and business issues, to assess
                    For evaluation of exploration projects, much  the sensitivity of the project to changes in the
                  information is taken from sources such as the  individual parameters, and to rank various
                  publications of state and national bureaux of  scenarios prior to selecting the most likely for
                  mines and from reports of projects in the min-  further, more detailed study.
                  ing literature. Such examples and much useful  The pre-feasibility study incorporates major
                  data are included in O’Hara (1980), Mular   sampling and test work programs. Upon com-
                  (1982), Bureau of Mines (USA) Cost Estimating  pletion of a pre-feasibility study, geological
                  System Handbook (1987), Camm (1991), Goode  confidence is such that it should be possible to
                  et al. (1991), Smith (1991), Craig Smith (1992),  publicly declare ore reserves (from measured
                  and references such as the  Annual Review   and indicated resources), and any other mineral
                  Reference Manual and Buyers Guide of the Ca-  resources that may become mineable in the
                  nadian Mining Journal. Websites that provide  future with further study. Similarly, the min-
                  current information include that of Minecost  ing method and production rate will have been
                  (Minecost 2004) and Western Mine Engineer-  selected. Extensive mineral processing and
                  ing (Westernmine 2004). Major social and/or  metallurgical test work, possibly using a pilot
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