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Problems                                                            433



                  Table 8.5 Measured substrate concentrations vs. time in a batch bioreactor

                  time (min)  [S] = 0.5 M  [S] = 0.75 M  [S] = 1 M  [S] = 1.5 M  [S] = 2M
                              0           0            0         0           0
                  10        0.4288      0.6735       0.9299    1.4175      1.9265
                  20        0.3554      0.6048       0.8504    1.3615      1.8773
                  30        0.2701      0.5089       0.7767    1.2832      1.8091
                  45        0.1827      0.3977       0.6652    1.1763      1.7191
                  60        0.1210      0.2893       0.5448    1.0999      1.6278
                  90        0.0196      0.1064       0.3030    0.8661      1.4420



                  To obtain a linear model, we take the base-10 logarithm,

                                  log Nu = log α 0 + α 1 log Re + α 2 log 10  Pr    (8.242)
                                               10
                                     10
                                                          10
                  Set up the system of linear algebraic equations that is solved to obtain the least-squares
                  parameter estimate. Then, solve this system by Gaussian elimination. Provide 95% confi-
                  dence intervals for each of the model parameters. Do all calculations by hand and show
                  complete results.

                  8.A.2. Repeat problem 8.A.1, but now use regress.
                  8.A.3. Fit again the heat transfer data of problem 8.A.1, but now do not transform the data
                  to make the model linear. Compute the fitted parameter estimate and the 95% confidence
                  intervals using the nontransformed nonlinear model.
                  8.A.4. Compute more accurate 95% confidence intervals for the data of problem 8.A.1,
                  without taking a quadratic expansion of S(θ), through MCMC simulation.
                  8.B.1. We are studying the enzymatic conversion of a substrate S to a product P. For several
                  batch reactor kinetic experiments at the same temperature and pH, but at different initial
                  substrate concentrations [S] 0 , we have measured [S] vs. time (Table 8.5). The reactor has
                  a fluid volume V R of 0.1 l and contains a mass m E of 10 mg of enzyme. A balance on the
                  substrate yields the governing ODE
                                            d           m E
                                              [S] =−        ˆ r S→P                 (8.243)
                                            dt        α c V R
                              6
                  where α c = 10 µmol/mol is a conversion factor and ˆ r S→P is the rate of substrate conversion
                  in micromoles per minute per gram of enzyme. We propose a Michelis–Menten model with
                  substrate inhibition,
                                                       V m [S]
                                          ˆ r S→P =          −1                     (8.244)
                                                 K m + [S] + K  [S] 2
                                                            si
                  From these data, find the most probable parameter values and use MCMC simulation to
                  generate 1-D 95% HPD credible regions for each one.
                  8.B.2. In problem 8.B.1, we fit the data only to measurements of the substrate conversion as
                  a function of time, but let us say that we also measure the product concentrations (Table 8.6).
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