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Risk assessment and   inspection for  integrity




























           Fig.9. Distribution of programme costs (1988-1990 incL).




     in  qualitative agreement with  the  predictions  of  the  fault-tree  analysis.  By
     completing the  ILI projects, it is considered that the probability of an outage
     caused by corrosion  has been essentially eliminated for those pipelines, so
     that the position of these pipelines on the economic risk diagram is reduced,
     as shown by points  1, 2 and 3 in Fig.8. In the three-year period from  1988 to
      1990, we will have inspected a total length of about 1200km with the highest
     estimated economic  risk of corrosion  failures. This is approximately 20% of
     the  total length of large-diameter (>16%) pipelines in our system.

        Stress corrosion cracking (SCC) projects

        Most of the projects related to SCC have been aimed at gathering data to
     more  accurately assess  the  probability of  SCC occurring.  Expenditure  on
     these projects account for  16% of total programme costs in the years 1988 to
      1990.  Projects to excavate  specific locations  on  six pipelines estimated  to
     have a high risk of SCC occurring were initiated in 1987. One of the  pipelines
     was found to have SCC, which initiated further projects in 1988 to assess more
     locations on that line, which in turn led to a hydrostatic test in  1989. A 1990
     project is planned to excavate and examine specific locations on one other


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