Page 456 - Pipeline Pigging Technology
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Risk assessment and  inspection for  integrity


            1. Demonstrating to  operating personnel,  the  public, regulatory au-
              thorities  and our customers  the commitment to operate a safe and
              reliable pipeline system capable of operating at its design capacity.

            2. Maintaining the  value of gas transmission assets.

           3. Allowing scheduling of maintenance operations to minimize disrup-
              tion and avoid unplanned outages for repairs.

         The  benefits of extending  NOVA's pipeline  integrity programme  to in-
      clude  lines with  no  history of failure  are perhaps  more intangible and  less
      obvious, since the long-term gain we expect to achieve involves some short-
      term  pain.  The  projects  do  contribute  to  our  operating  costs,  and  may
      inconvenience  the  operations  of  our  customers,  yet  it  is  not  obvious  in
      advance that failures would otherwise  occur.
         One  of  the  intangible  benefits  of  this  part  of  the  programme  is  the
      improved  knowledge  about  the  structural integrity of the  buried  pipeline
      system,  and  the  reduced  potential  for  future  large, nasty  surprises.  Even
      though  some  projects  have  shown  that  failures  due  to  deterioration  of
      structural  integrity are  unlikely in  the  near  term,  the  confidence  in  the
      reliability of critical parts of our system provided by this information, and the
      ability to plan future integrity activities based on factual data, has real value.
      A second intangible benefit of the total programme, related  to the benefit of
      demonstrating  a  commitment  to  safe  reliable  operation,  is  the  ability of
      NOVA,  and  other  companies  that  have  taken  a  leading  role  in  managing
      pipeline  integrity, to  minimize  outside  interference  in  this  aspect  of  our
      business.
        The  guidelines  for  selecting  pipeline  integrity projects  are  intended  to
      introduce  an  element  of  cost-effectiveness  that  can  be  measured  in  the
      tangible benefits of preventing failures. If we are very successful in  prevent-
      ing outages in the medium term, the value of avoided consequences  will be
      larger than the cost of the whole programme. It is too early to tell if this might
      be a realistic objective. On the basis of results for completed  projects  in the
      last two years, we can reasonably claim that the potential economic  conse-
      quences of failures that otherwise would have occurred in the next five years
      represents  70% of  the  programme  cost  in  those  two  years.  The  key  to
      improving this result is to improve our accuracy in predicting  the severity of
      deterioration,  rather than simply the presence  of  deterioration.
        At the present time then, we cannot claim that the whole programme can
      be  justified  in  terms  of  tangible  dollar  benefits,  but  we  believe  that  the
      intangible benefits are sufficient  to continue  the present  approach.



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