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Sabotage module 9/203
             term commitment and will not have the desired results. It might   C.  Securityjbrces
             be a difficult task to create the proper alliances to win public
             support,  and it will usually be a  slow process.  (See also the   The effectiveness of a security force will be situation specific.
             “Intelligence” section next.)              Rarely can enough security personnel be deployed to protect
               Community partnering can theoretically yield the most ben-   the entire length of a pipeline. If security is provided from a
             efit as a risk  mitigator  because  removal of the  incentive to   government  that  is presently  unpopular,  the  security  forces
             attack is the most effective way to protect the pipeline. When   themselves might be targets and bring the risk of damage closer
             such a program is just beginning, its effectiveness will be hard   to the pipeline. It is not uncommon in some areas for pipeline
             to measure. For risk assessment purposes, the evaluator might   owners to  deploy  private  security  personnel.  The  evaluator
             assess the program initially and then modify the attack poten-   should look for evidence of professionalism and effectiveness
             tial variable as evidence suggests that the program is achieving   in such situations. Maximum value should be awarded when
             its intended outcome.                      the security force presents a strong deterrent to sabotage.
               Various elements of a community partnering program can be
             identified and valued, in order to assess the benefits from the   D.  Resolve
             program:
                                                        A well-publicized intention to protect the company’s facilities
               Significant, noticeable, positive impact of program   is a deterrent in itself. When the company demonstrates unwa-
               Regular meetings with community leaders to determine how   vering resolve to defend facilities and prosecute perpetrators,
               and where money is best spent            the casual mischief-maker is often dissuaded. Such resolve can
               Good publicity as a community service.   be partially shown by large, strongly worded warning signs.
                                                        These warnings should be reinforced by decisive action should
               These elements are listed in priority order, from most impor-   an attack occur. A high-visibility  security force also demon-
             tant to least, and can be additive-add  points for all that are   strates resolve. Maximum value should be awarded for a high-
             present, using a point assignment scale consistent with the per-   profile  display that might include signs, guards, patrols, and
             ceived benefit of this mitigation. In many cases, this variable   publicized capture and prosecution of offenders.
             should command a relatively high percentage of possible miti-
             gation benefits-perhaps  2&70%.            E.  Threat ofpunishment

             B.  Intelligence                           Fear ofpunishment can be a deterrent to attacks, to some extent.
                                                        A well-publicized policy and good success in prosecution of
             Forewarning of intended  attacks  is the next  line of  defense.   perpetrators  is a  line of  defense. The  assessed  value of  this
             Intelligence gathering can be as simple as overhearing conver-   aspect  can  be  increased  when  the  threat  of  punishment  is
             sations or as sophisticated  as the use  of high-resolution  spy   thought  to play  a  significant  role. The  evaluator  should  be
             satellites, listening  devices, and other  espionage  techniques.   aware that a government that is not seen as legitimate might be
             Close  cooperation  with  local  and national  law  enforcement   deemed hypocritical in punishing saboteurs harshly while its
             may  also  provide  access to  vital  intelligence.  Local  police   own affairs are not in order. In such cases, the deterrent effect of
             forces are normally experienced in tracking subversives. They   punishment  might  actually  foster  support  for  the  saboteurs
             know the citizens, they are familiar with civilian leaders, they   [ 121. In many cases, threat of punishment (arguably) has a min-
             can  have  detailed  information  on  criminals  and  subversive   imal impact on reducing attacks.
             groups, and their support is important in an active anti-sabotage
             program. However, some local police groups may themselves   F  Industry cooperation
             be corrupt or less than effective. When the local police force is
             seen as a government protection arm (rather than protection for   Sharing of intelligence, training employees to watch neighbor-
             the people),  a close alliance might be counterproductive and   ing facilities (and, hence, multiplying the patrol effectiveness),
             even impact the effectiveness of a damage prevention program   sharing  of  special  patrols  or  guards,  sharing  of  detection
             1121.                                      devices, etc., are benefits derived from cooperation between
               The evaluator should be aware that effectiveness of intelli-   companies.  Particularly when the companies  are engaged  in
             gence gathering is difficult to gauge and can change quickly as   similar  operations,  this  cooperation  can  be  inexpensive  and
             fragile sources of information appear and disappear. Maximum   effective. Maximum value should be awarded when a pipeline
             value should be awarded when the company is able to reliably   company’s anti-sabotage  efforts are truly expanded by  these
             and regularly obtain information that is valuable in preventing   cooperative efforts.
             or reducing acts of sabotage. As a rough way of scoring this
             item, a simple ratio can be used:          G. Facility accessibility
                                                        Attacks will normally occur at the easiest (most vulnerable) tar-
               Number of acts thwarted through intelligence gathering efforts 7
                          number of acts attempted      gets and, as a secondary criteria, those targets that will cause the
                                                        most  aggravation  to  have  repaired.  Such  sites  include  the
               Hence, if it is believed that three acts were avoided (due to   remote,  visible  stations  along the pipeline  route  (especially
             forewarning)  and eight  acts  occurred  (even if unsuccessful,   pump and compressor stations), the exposed piping on supports
             they should be counted), then award 318 ofthe maximum point   and bridges, and locations that will be difficult to repair (steep
             value.                                     mountain terrain, swampland, heavy jungle, etc.).
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