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Stress and human errors 9/199
             mitigation  systems  and lead to increased  chances  of human   these indicators are selected partly because they are quantifi-
             error. A  higher  negative  stress  level  leading  to  a  shortened   able measures, the data are not always readily available. In the
             attention span can subvert many of the items in the incorrect   absence of such data, it is suggested that no point adjustments
             operations  index.  Training,  use  of  procedures,  inspections,   be made. Where indications exist, a relative point or percentage
             checklists, etc., all depend on the individual dedicating atten-   adjustment scale for the incorrect operations index can be set
             tion to the activity. All loss of focus will reduce effectiveness. It   up as shown inTable 9.1, In this example table, a previously cal-
             will be nearly impossible to accurately assess the stress level   culated Incorrect Operations index score would be reduced by
             during  times  of design  and  construction  of  older  pipelines.   up to 20 points or 25% when significant indicators of negative
             Therefore, the assessments will generally apply to human error   stress exist.
             potential for operations and maintenance activities of existing   There is also the possibility that a workforce has unusually
             pipelines and all aspects of planned pipelines.   low  stress  levels,  presumably  leading  to  a  low  error  rate.
              Stress levels can, of course, impact the potential of other fail-   Indications of lower stress levels might be
             ure modes,  as can  many  aspects of the incorrecf operations
             index. As a modeling convenience and consistent with the use   Category I Positive Indicators
             of the incorrect operations index, only that index is adjusted by   Low accident rate
             the human stress issue in this example risk model.   Low rate of errors
              Indications of higher stress andor distraction levels can be
             identified and prioritized. The following list groups indicators
             into three categories, arranged in priority order. The first cate-   Category II Positive Indicators
             gories  provide  more  compelling  evidence  of  a  potentially   Low substance abuse
             higher future error rate:                  0  Low absenteeism
                                                         Low rate of disciplinary actions
             Category INegative Indicators
              High current accident rate
              High current rate of errors               Category Ill Positive Indicators
                                                         High motivation, general satisfaction
                                                         Strong sense of teamwork and cooperation
             Category II Negative Indicators             Much positive feedback in employee surveys or interviews
              High substance abuse                       Low employee turnover
              High absenteeism                           High degree of control and autonomy among most
              High rate of disciplinary actions          employees
                                                         High participation in suggestion systems.
             Category Ill Negative Indicators            As with the negative indicators, comparative data will be
              Low motivation, general dissatisfaction,   required and opinions should be only very carefully used. For
             0  Low teamwork and cooperation (evidence of conspiracies,   instance, a low incidence of substance abuse should only war-
              unhealthy competition, “politics”)        rant points if this was an unusual condition for this type of work
              Much negativity in employee surveys or interviews   group in this culture. Where indications exist, arelative point or
              High employee turnover                    percentage adjustment scale for the incorrect operations index
              Low degree of control and autonomy among most employees   can be set up as shown inTable 9.2.
              Low (or very negative) participation in suggestion systems.   In the examples given in Tables 9.1 and 9.2, the results of the
                                                        stress/distraction  analysis would he as follows: When one or
              Interpreting these signs is best done in the context of histori-   more of the indicators shows clear warning signals, the evalua-
             cal data collected from the workplace being evaluated and other   tor can reduce the overall incorrect operations index score by
             similar workplaces. The adjective high is, of course, relative.   up  to 20 points or 25%. When these  signs are reversed and
             The  evaluator will  need  some comparative measures,  either   clearly show a better work environment than other similar oper-
             from other work groups within the company or from published   ations, up to 20 points or 25% can be added to the incorrect
             industry-wide  or  country-wide  data,  or  perhaps  even  from   operations index. These are intended only to capture unusual
             experience in similar evaluations. Care should be exercised in   situations.  Points  should  be  added  or  deducted  only  when
             accepting random opinions for these items. Although most of   strong indications of a unique situation are present.

             Table 9.1  Example adjustment scale for the three negative indicator categories

                                             Point change fmrnpreviously calculated   Percent change applied toprevroush
             Condition                       Inc Ops Score             calculated Inc Ops Score
             Presence ofany Category I negative indicators   - 12                -1s
             Presence of any Category I1 negative indicators   -8                -10
             Presence ofany  two Category I11 negative indicators   -6           -5
             Combined maximum                          -20                       -2s
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