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Sabotage module 9/20?
              Example 9.5: Medium threat of sabotage      The  company employs security  managers  and consultants
                                                         but  no  guards  or  direct  response  personnel.  Two  points  are
               In the pipeline system considered here, the owner company   awarded for “security force” for the use of the managers and
              has a history of violent labor disputes. Although there have not   consultants. Any efforts to publicize the company’s intent to
              been any such disputes recently, altercations in the past have   protect facilities and prosecute attackers is not thought to be
              involved harassment of employees and sabotage of facilities.   effective. Government threats of apprehension and punishment
              One such dispute coincides with the construction period of this   are similarly not seen as a deterrent to the saboteurs.
              section of pipeline. Similar forces seem to still be present and   The section being evaluated has two surface facilities. These
              the current labor contract will be renegotiated within the year.   facilities are protected by electric fences (at least 75% reliabil-
               The evaluator scores the potential risk as between “medium”   ity), remotely operated video surveillance cameras, SCADA,
              and  ‘‘low’’ based  on the  above information.  As negotiations   and trained guard dogs. All are judged to be effective anti-sabo-
              begin, the company has made extra efforts to communicate to   tage methods. The video surveillance or problems spotted with
              labor representatives its intention to protect facilities and pros-   the SCADA prompt a quick response by local authorities or by
              ecute to the fullest extent possible any attacks against facilities.   a company helicopter. Points are awarded for these items.
              This communication has been verbal, documented as meeting   Where the pipeline route is not obscured by dense vegeta-
              minutes, and in the form ofposters in employee areas. The com-   tion, digitized satellite views are transmitted to company head-
              pany has alerted local law enforcement of their concerns. The   quarters  twice  a  week. These  views  will  detect  movements
              evaluator awards points for resolve and for fear of punishment.   of  people,  equipment,  etc., within  1  mile  either  side  of  the
              There are no cooperative efforts with neighboring industries.   pipeline. While not a continuous surveillance, these snapshots
               Points are also awarded for items in the operations aspect as   will alert the company to activity in the vicinity, perhaps spot-
              follows: ID badges, employee screening, and controlled access.   ting a staging area for attacks or the creation of an attack route
              In the section being evaluated, one aboveground metering/ block   to the line. The evaluator considers this to he an addition to the
              valve station is present. It has a standard protection package that   patrolling efforts and awards additional points for this effort.
              includes a chain-link fence with barbed wire on top, heavy chains   Additional points are awarded for other mitigation measures:
              and locks on gates and equipment, signs, and a SCADA system.
               By  developing  a  point  scale  and  applying  a  relative  risk   Design-A  high level of support is sought for all future con-
              assessment to the situation, the overall risk of pipeline failure is   struction in this  area. This company has much experience
              judged to have increased by about 40% by including the threat   with the sabotage risk. A special anti-sabotage team assists in
              of sabotage. This includes a 30% increase in failure probability   the design of new facilities and coordinates efforts to obtain
              coupled  with  a  15% increase  in  potential  consequences,  as   support from pipeline neighbors.
              measured by the evaluator’s assessment model.   Construction-Private  guards are hired to protect job sites
                                                          24 hours per day. Construction inspectors are trained to spot
                                                          evidence of sabotage and are experienced (and effective) in
                                     _____
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              Example 9.6: High threat ofsabotage         dealing with the local workforce and property owners. The
                                                          inspection staff is increased so that at least two sets of eyes
               In this evaluation, the pipeline ownedoperator has installed a   monitor all activities.
              pipeline in a developing country with a long history of political   Operations-Operations  mitigation measures include use of
              unrest. The routing of the line takes it  close to rural villages   ID  badges,  employee  screening,  controlled  access,  and
              whose inhabitants are openly antigovernment and, because of the   employee awareness training.
              government’s association with the company, anti-pipeline. In the
              past 2 years, pipeline service has been routinely disrupted by acts   New scores are calculated based on apoint system developed
              of sabotage on aboveground facilities and on cased installations   by the company. The high attack potential has been partially
              below ground. The potential for attack is scored as high.   offset  by  the  thorough  mitigation  efforts.  Nonetheless,  the
               In the last 6 months, the company has embarked on a commu-   results of the sabotage assessment taken together with the basic
              nity assistance program, spending funds to improve conditions in   risk assessment, imply that overall risk has more than tripled
              the villages along the pipeline route. There is evidence that these   due to the high threat of sabotage.
              communities, while not tempering their hostility toward the gov-
              ernment, are beginning to view the pipeline company as a poten-   Including the threat of sabotage in the risk evaluation is done
              tial ally instead of a partner of the government. Such evidence   by considering this threat as an addition to the existing risk pic-
              comes from informal interviews and recent interactions between   ture. As seen from the examples, inclusion of this special threat
              pipeline employees and  villagers. Company  security officers   can have a tremendous impact on the risk picture, as is consis-
              have a close working relationship with government intelligence   tent with the reality of the situation. Before adding in the risk of
              sources. These sources confirm that perceptions might be chang-   sabotage, the threats to a pipeline are predominantly from slow-
              ing in the villages. There have been no attacks in the last 4 months   acting or rare forces  of nature (corrosion, earth  movements,
              (but it was not unusual for attacks to be spaced several months   fatigue, etc.) and random errors or omissions (outside damage,
              apart). Points are awarded for a community partnering program   incorrect operations, etc.). The sabotage risk, on the other hand,
              and intelligence gathering. Based on the recent intelligence and   represents a highly directed and specific force. Consequently
              the observed trend in attacks, the evaluator may be able to score   then, this can represent a greater risk to the pipeline than any
              the attack potential as less than “high at some point in the future.   other single factor. The increased risk is due primarily to the
              As more evidence continues to confirm the reduced potential, the   increased probability of a failure-and  possibly a more likely
              scores will be reevaluated.                higher consequence failure scenario.
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