Page 325 - Pipelines and Risers
P. 325

298                                                              Chapter 16





                                            SmSU     Medium    Large     Total
                     Trawlers (Sinking)      0         0      5.7x10-"   5.7~10-'~
                     Merchant (Sinhng)     1.3x1U8   3.7 xlU9   4.51~10-~ 6.18~10.~
                      Material Defect      4.92 xlU7  4.92 x107  4.92~10.~  1.48~10-~
                        Corrosion          3.14 xl0"   0        0       3.14~10~
                       Trawl Impact        1.16 xl0"   2.91~10~   0     1.45~10~
                    Subtotal (per km year)   4.80 x104   7.86~10~  5.60~10-~ 6.13~10~
                Maintenance/ Workover (Der year)   5.37  xlV7   5.37~10-~  5.37~10.~  1.61~10"
             I           Total           I   6x104  I  9.9~10' I  7.1 xlO-'  I  7.7 x104  I

          Table 16.8 Costs of Repairs.
                     I        Hole Size      I  Small  I  Medium  I   Large  1
                          Cost of repair (MNOK)   19      19       33
                       Cost of lost production (MNOK)   380   380   660








          16.9  Example 2: Dropped Object Risk Analysis


          16.9.1  General
          This calculation is used to present an assessment of the risk posed by dropped objects hitting
          spools, umbilical and flowline sections around a template. This example will concentrate on
          the determination of the probability of dropped objects hitting subsea installations.

           16.9.2  Acceptable Risk Levels
          There is a need  to  distinguish SLS  (Serviceability Limit State) and ULS  (Ultimate  Limit
          State). For this example, SLS is assumed as a dent damage larger than  3.5% of  the pipe
          diameter, while TJLS corresponds to bursting due to internal over pressure and combined dent
          and crack defects. The pipeline will not burst unless a large dent and a certain depth of cracks
          exist simultaneously.

          The principle used in establishing the acceptance criteria is that the recovery time (for the
          most  sensitive population) after an environmental damage incident should be insignificant
          relative to the frequency of  Occurrence of  environmental damage. For this example, marine
          (pelagic) seabirds have been identified as the most sensitive resources during all seasons.
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