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3. Multivariate Random Variables  135

                              (ii) Let us denote                               and a = {2π(1–
                           .             Utilizing (3.3.5), (3.6.4)-(3.6.5) and (3.6.11), the conditional pdf
                           of X  | X  = x  is given by
                              1   2   2








                           The expression of f (x ) found in the last step in (3.6.12) resembles the
                                               1
                                            1|2
                           pdf of a normal random variable with mean                    and
                           variance
                                  (iii) Its proof is left as the Exercise 3.6.2. ¢
                              Example 3.6.1 Suppose that (X , X ) is distributed as N  (0,0,4,1,ρ) where
                                                           2
                                                        1
                                                                            2
                           ρ = 1/2. From the Theorem 3.6.1 (i) we already know that E[X ] = 0 and
                                                                                  2
                           V[X ] = 1. Utilizing part (iii), we can also say that E[X  | X  = x ] = 1/4x  and
                              2
                                                                            1
                                                                                1
                                                                                       1
                                                                         2
                           V[X  | X  = x ] = 3/4. Now, one may apply the Theorem 3.3.1 to find indi-
                              2
                                  1
                                      1
                           rectly the expressions of E[X ] and V[X ]. We should have E[X ] = E{E[X  |
                                                    2
                                                                                          2
                                                                                2
                                                            2
                           X  = x ]} = E[1/4 X ] = 0, whereas V[X ] = V{E[X  | X  = x ]} + E{V[X  | X 1
                                                                             1
                                                                     2
                                                            2
                                           1
                                                                         1
                                1
                            1
                                                                                       2
                           = x ]} = V[1/4X ] + E[3/4] = 1/16V[X ] + 3/4 = 1/16(4) + 3/4 = 1. Note that
                                                           1
                                        1
                              1
                           in this example, we did not fully exploit the form of the conditional distribu-
                           tion of X  | X  = x . We merely used the expressions of the conditional mean
                                  2
                                          1
                                      1
                           and variance of X  | X  = x . !
                                          2  1   1
                                     In the Example 3.6.2, we exploit more fully the form
                                              of the conditional distributions.
                              Example 3.6.2 Suppose that (X , X ) is distributed as N (0,0,1,1,ρ) where
                                                                            2
                                                           2
                                                        1
                           ρ = 1/2. We wish to evaluate E{exp[1/2X X ]}. Using the Theorem 3.3.1 (i),
                                                                2
                                                              1
                           we can write
                           But, from the Theorem 3.6.1 (iii) we already know that the conditional distri-
                           bution of X  | X  = x  is normal with mean 1/2x  and variance 3/4. Now,
                                             1
                                         1
                                                                     1
                                     2
                           E(exp1/2x X ] | X  = x ) can be viewed as the conditional mgf of X  | X  = x .
                                             1
                                                                                      1
                                                                                          1
                                   1
                                         1
                                     2
                                                                                   2
                           Thus, using the form of the mgf of a univariate normal random variable from
                           (2.3.16), we obtain
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