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3. Multivariate Random Variables  139

                           3.7 Correlation Coefficient and Independence

                           We begin this section with a result which clarifies the role of the zero
                           correlation in a bivariate normal distribution.
                              Theorem 3.7.1 Suppose that (X , X ) has the bivariate normal distri-
                                                          1
                                                             2
                           bution N (µ , µ ,            , ρ) with the joint pdf given by (3.6.1) where –∞
                                  2
                                        2
                                     1
                           < µ ,  µ  <  ∞, 0 <  σ ,  σ  <  ∞  and –1 < ρ < 1.  Then, the two random
                              1
                                 2
                                             1
                                                 2
                           variables X  and X  are independent if and only if the correlation coeffi-
                                     1
                                            2
                           cient ρ = 0.
                              Proof We first verify the “necessary part” followed by the “sufficiency
                           part”.
                              Only if part: Suppose that X  and X  are independent. Then, in view of
                                                      1
                                                             2
                           the Theorem 3.5.2 (i), we conclude that Cov(X , X ) = 0. This will imply
                                                                       2
                                                                    1
                           that ρ = 0.
                              If part: From (3.6.1), let us recall that the joint pdf of (X , X ) is given
                                                                                   2
                                                                               1
                           by
                           with
                           But, when ρ = 0, this joint pdf reduces to




                           where                         exp{–1/2(x  – µ ) /      }, i = 1, 2. By appealing
                                                                 2
                                                            i   i
                           to the Theorem 3.5.3 we conclude that X  and X  are independent. ¢
                                                               1      2
                               However, the zero correlation coefficient between two arbitrary
                             random variables does not necessarily imply that these two variables
                                are independent. Examples 3.7.1-3.7.2 emphasize this point.

                              Example 3.7.1 Suppose that X  is N(0, 1) and let `X  =    . Then,
                                                                               2
                                                          1
                           Cov(X ,  X ) = E(X X ) – E(X )E(X ) =           – E(X )E(X ) = 0, since
                                                          2
                                    2
                                 1
                                                                                2
                                                                            1
                                                     1
                                              2
                                            1
                           E(X ) = 0 and        = 0. That is, the correlation coefficient ρ ,  is
                                                                                      X1 X2
                              1
                           zero. But the fact that X  and X  are dependent can be easily verified as
                                                       2
                                                 1
                           follows. One can claim that P {X  > 4} > 0, however, the conditional
                                                          2
                           probability, P {X  > 4 | –2 ≤ X  ≤ 2} is same as P       –2 ≤ X  ≤ 2}
                                          2           1                               1
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