Page 180 - Reliability and Maintainability of In service Pipelines
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164 Reliability and Maintainability of In-Service Pipelines



                                                           Cover loss

                                                           Limit state
                   Flexural failure   Shear failure
                    Limit state        Limit state
                                                          Crack control

                                                           Limit state
           Figure 5.33  System combination of the four limit state functions for multifailure
           mode reliability analysis of the concrete sewer.

           strength limit states. If a pipe loses its flexural strength and/or its shear strength it
           has completely failed. Therefore flexural limit state and shear limit state are con-
           sidered as ultimate strength limit state functions. On the other hand, if a pipe
           cracks or loses its cover, it is not necessarily failed structurally, but it is failed
           from a serviceability point of view. Therefore, crack limit state and cover loss
           limit state can be considered as serviceability limit states.
              As mentioned earlier, each failure mode happens when the limit state function
           is violated (i.e., G i # 0). To consider all the four modes as a system, it is neces-
           sary to clarify the combination of the limit state functions. Fig. 5.33 presents the
           combination which is suggested for a system reliability analysis of the concrete
           sewer; it is a combination of series and parallel systems. The two serviceability
           limit states (crack and cover loss) are considered parallel, because violation of
           them individually does not fail the whole system. On the other hand violation of
           flexural limit state and/or shear limit state will cause the failure of the whole sys-
           tem and therefore these two limit states are set in a series combination.


           5.4.3 CORROSION MODEL

           The same corrosion model as presented in Eq. (1.20) with k; u; j; ½DSŠ; b=P ; and A
                                                                       0
           as the basic random variables is considered for the multifailure mode reliability
           analysis of the concrete sewer.


           5.4.4 CALCULATION OF FAILURE PROBABILITY

           According to the theory of systems reliability, the probability of failure for a
           series system (P fs ðtÞ) can be estimated by Eq. (3.7):


                                                 m
                                                          t ðÞ            ð3:7Þ
                            max½P f i  t ðފ # P fs tðÞ # 1 2 L 1 2 P f i
                                                 i51
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