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L1592_Frame_C09  Page 80  Tuesday, December 18, 2001  1:45 PM









                           was kept blind to the fact that these specimens were not run-of-the-laboratory work. The mea-
                           sured values are:

                                      Laboratory A  2.8  3.5  2.3  2.7   2.3  3.1  2.5
                                                    2.5  2.5  2.7  2.5   2.5  2.6  2.7
                                                       = 2.66 µg/L
                                                     y A
                                                            − C S  = 2.66 − 2.50 = 0.16 µg/L
                                                    Bias = y A
                                                    Standard deviation = 0.32 µg/L
                                      Laboratory B  5.3  4.7  3.6  5.0   3.6  4.5  4.6
                                                    4.3  3.9  4.1  4.2   4.2  4.3  4.9
                                                       = 4.38 µg/L
                                                     y B
                                                           – C S  = 4.38 − 2.5 = 1.88 µg/L
                                                    Bias = y B
                                                    Standard deviation = 0.50 µg/L
                           The best estimate of the bias is the average minus the concentration of the standard solution.
                           The 100(1 − α)% confidence limits for the true bias are:
                                                                     s
                                                      ( yC S ) ±  t ν=n−1,α/2 -------
                                                        –
                                                                      n
                           For Laboratory A, the confidence interval is:
                                                (
                                      0.16 ±  2.160 0.32   14) =  0.16 ±  0.18 =  – 0.03 to 0.34 µg/L
                           This interval includes zero, so we conclude with 95% confidence that the true bias is not greater
                           than zero. Laboratory B has a confidence interval of 1.88 ± 0.29, or 1.58 to 2.16 µg/L. Clearly,
                           the bias is greater than zero.
                             The precision of the two laboratories is the same; there is no significant difference between
                           standard deviations of 0.32 and 0.50 µg/L. Roughly speaking, the ratios of the variances would
                           have to exceed a value of 3 before we would reject the hypothesis that they are the same. The
                                               2
                                                    2
                           ratio in this example is 0.5  0.32 =  2.5  . The test statistic (the “roughly three”) is the F-statistic
                           and this test is called the F-test on the variances. It will be explained more in Chapter 24 when we
                           discuss analysis of variance.
                       Having a “blind” analyst make measurements on specimens with known concentrations is the only way
                       to identify bias. Any certified laboratory must invest a portion of its effort in doing such checks on
                       measurement accuracy. Preparing test specimens with precisely known concentrations is not easy. Such
                       standard solutions can be obtained from certified laboratories (U.S. EPA labs, for example).
                        Another quality check is to split a well-mixed sample and add a known quantity of analyte to one or
                       more of the resulting portions. Example 9.3 suggests how splitting and spiking would work.
                       Example 9.3

                           Consider that the measured values in Example 9.2 were obtained in the following way. A large
                           portion of a test solution with unknown concentration was divided into 28 portions. To 14 of the
                           portions a quantity of analyte was added to increase the concentration by exactly 1.8 µg/L. The
                           true concentration is not known for the spiked or the unspiked specimens, but the measured
                           values should differ by 1.8 µg/L. The observed difference between labs A and B is 4.38 − 2.66 =
                           1.72 µg/L. This agrees with the true difference of 1.8 µg/L. This is presumptive evidence that
                           the two laboratories are doing good work.

                       There is a possible weakness in this kind of a comparison. It could happen that both labs are biased.
                       Suppose the true concentration of the master solution was 1 µg/L. Then, although the difference is as
                       expected, both labs are measuring about 1.5 µg/L too high, perhaps because there is some fault in the
                       measurement procedure they were given. Thus,  “splitting and spiking” checks work only when one
                       laboratory is known to have excellent precision and low bias. This is the reason for having certified
                       reference laboratories.



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