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78    PART 2 • STRATEGY FORMULATION


                                      offer extended warranties or special services to gain customer loyalty whenever the bar-
                                      gaining power of consumers is substantial. Bargaining power of consumers also is higher
                                      when the products being purchased are standard or undifferentiated. When this is the case,
                                      consumers often can negotiate selling price, warranty coverage, and accessory packages to
                                      a greater extent.
                                         The bargaining power of consumers can be the most important force affecting com-
                                      petitive advantage. Consumers gain increasing bargaining power under the following
                                      circumstances:
                                      1.  If they can inexpensively switch to competing brands or substitutes
                                      2.  If they are particularly important to the seller
                                      3.  If sellers are struggling in the face of falling consumer demand
                                      4.  If they are informed about sellers’ products, prices, and costs
                                      5.  If they have discretion in whether and when they purchase the product 14


                                      Sources of External Information

                                      A wealth of strategic information is available to organizations from both published and
                                      unpublished sources. Unpublished sources include customer surveys, market research,
                                      speeches at professional and shareholders’ meetings, television programs, interviews, and
                                      conversations with stakeholders. Published sources of strategic information include
                                      periodicals, journals, reports, government documents, abstracts, books, directories, news-
                                      papers, and manuals. The Internet has made it easier for firms to gather, assimilate, and
                                      evaluate information.
                                         There are many excellent Web sites for gathering strategic information, but six that the
                                      author uses routinely are listed here:
                                      1.  http://marketwatch.multexinvestor.com
                                      2.  http://moneycentral.msn.com
                                      3.  http://finance.yahoo.com
                                      4.  www.clearstation.com
                                      5.  https://us.etrade.com/e/t/invest/markets
                                      6.  www.hoovers.com

                                         Most college libraries subscribe to Standard & Poor’s (S&P’s) Industry Surveys.
                                      These documents are exceptionally up-to-date and give valuable information about many
                                      different industries. Each report is authored by a Standard & Poor’s industry research
                                      analyst and includes the following sections:

                                      1.  Current Environment
                                      2.  Industry Trends
                                      3.  How the Industry Operates
                                      4.  Key Industry Ratios and Statistics
                                      5.  How to Analyze a Company
                                      6.  Glossary of Industry Terms
                                      7.  Additional Industry Information
                                      8.  References
                                      9.  Comparative Company Financial Analysis

                                      Forecasting Tools and Techniques

                                      Forecasts are educated assumptions about future trends and events. Forecasting is a
                                      complex activity because of factors such as technological innovation, cultural changes,
                                      new products, improved services, stronger competitors, shifts in government priorities,
                                      changing social values, unstable economic conditions, and unforeseen events. Managers
                                      often must rely on published forecasts to effectively identify key external opportunities
                                      and threats.
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