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                                                                             THE KOSOVO CRISIS—THE MICRO REVIEW
                                                         of hostilities in early March. The estimated number of dead since the
                                                         beginning of 1998 to the end of the offensive was 800. The scale of
                                                         the damage was massive, yet the reaction, due to the slow and disci-
                                                         plined nature of the offensive and the limited Western media access
                                                         was relatively mild. Although there were images of refugees and
                                                         destroyed villages, such footage lacked the shock factor that was pres-
                                                         ent in the March massacre. Table 7.2 summarizes the changing
                                                         aspects of Western policy regarding Kosovo between the second and
                                                         third phases of the time line under review.
                                                           As table 7.2 shows, tactical Western policy did change between
                                                         phase 2 and phase 3, due largely to events on the ground in Kosovo
                                                         relating to the fighting and its implications for the civilian population.
                                                         While no unexpected and dramatic media images surfaced over phase 3,
                                                         the humanitarian situation deteriorated quite dramatically. As a result,
                                                         the West, while keeping its strategic policy and its desire for dialogue
                                                         to achieve this end consistent, strengthened its tactical policies. In
                                                         terms of tactical policy A, the West demanded a cease-fire and military
                                                         withdrawal from the FRY, along with facilitation of refugee returns
                                                         and access for humanitarian organizations. It also sought to establish
                                                         a more robust international monitoring regime than the KDOM.
                                                         Table 7.2 Change in Western Policy Aspects between Phases 2 and 3  141
                                                                                Phase 2               Phase 3
                                                                        •  Kosovo autonomy (meaningful
                                                                          self-administration)
                                                          Strategic Policy
                                                                        •  Serb/Albanian dialogue  •  Serb/Albanian dialogue

                                                                        •  FRY to withdraw forces     •  Cease-fire/withdraw forces
                                                                        •  Allow access to Red Cross/  from civilian areas
                                                          Tactical Policy A  humanitarian groups  •  Permit stronger international
                                                                                                 monitoring regime
                                                                                               •  Refugee return/humanitarian
                                                                                                 group access
                                                                        •  Arms embargo        •  Implement previous sanctions
                                                                        •  Senior official’s visa  (including those threatened)
                                                                          restrictions (threatened)   •  Activation warning for
                                                          Tactical Policy B  •  Moratorium on government  NATO air campaign
                                                                          credit/investment (threatened)
                                                                        •  The United States revokes
                                                                          February concessions
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