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Guo, Boyun / Computer Assited Petroleum Production Engg 0750682701_chap08 Final Proof page 105 20.12.2006 10:36am




                                                                            PRODUCTION DECLINE ANALYSIS  8/105
                       8.4 For the data given in the following table, identify a
                          suitable decline model, determine model parameters,
                          predict the time when the production rate will decline
                          to a marginal value of 50 stb/day, and yearly oil pro-
                          ductions:

                            Time (mo)    Production Rate (stb/day)
                                1               1,810
                                2               1,637
                                3               1,482
                                4               1,341
                                5               1,213
                                6               1,098
                                7                993
                                8                899
                                9                813
                               10                736
                               11                666
                               12                602
                               13                545
                               14                493
                               15                446
                               16                404
                               17                365
                               18                331
                               19                299
                               20                271
                               21                245
                               22                222
                               23                201
                               24                181
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