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Guo, Boyun / Computer Assited Petroleum Production Engg 0750682701_chap07 Final Proof page 88 3.1.2007 8:47pm Compositor Name: SJoearun




               7/88  PETROLEUM PRODUCTION ENGINEERING FUNDAMENTALS
               7.1 Introduction                          Oil viscosity (m o ):   1.5 cp
               With the knowledge of Nodal analysis, it is possible to  Producing GLR (GLR):  300 scf/bbl
               forecast well production, that is, future production rate  Gas-specific gravity (g g ):  0.7 air ¼ 1
               and cumulative production of oil and gas. Combined with  Flowing tubing head  800 psia
               information of oil and gas prices, the results of a produc-  pressure (p hf ):
               tion forecast can be used for field economics analyses.  Flowing tubing head  150 8F
                A production forecast is performed on the basis of  temperature (T hf ):
               principle of material balance. The remaining oil and gas in  Flowing temperature at  180 8F
               the reservoir determine future inflow performance relation-  tubing shoe (T wf ):
               ship (IPR) and, therefore, production rates of wells.  Water cut:  10%
               Production rates are predicted using IPR (see Chapter 3)  Interfacial tension (s):  30 dynes/cm
               and tubing performance relationship (TPR) (see Chapter 4)  Specific gravity of water (g w ):  1.05
               in the future times. Cumulative productions are predicted
               by integrations of future production rates.
                A complete production forecast should be carried out
               in different flow periods identified on the basis of flow  Solution To solve Example Problem 7.1, the spreadsheet
               regimes and drive mechanisms. For a volumetric oil  program TransientProductionForecast.xls was used to
               reservoir, these periods include the following:  perform Nodal analysis for each month. Operating
                                                         points are shown in Fig. 7.1. The production forecast
               . Transient flow period                   result is shown in Table 7.1, which also includes
               . Pseudo–steady one-phase flow period     calculated cumulative production at the end of each
               . Pseudo–steady two-phase flow period     month. The data in Table 7.1 are plotted in Fig. 7.2.
               7.2 Oil Production during Transient Flow Period
                                                         7.3 Oil Production during Pseudo–Steady
               The production rate during the transient flow period can  Flow Period
               be predicted by Nodal analysis using transient IPR and
               steady flow TPR. IPR model for oil wells is given by  It is generally believed that oil production during a pseudo–
               Eq. (3.2), that is,                       steady-state flow period is due to fluid expansion in under-
                                                         saturated oil reservoirs and solution-gas drive in saturated
                             kh( p i   p wf )            oil reservoirs. An undersaturated oil reservoir becomes a
               q ¼                               :  (7:1)  saturated oil reservoir when the reservoir pressure drops to
                                   k
                  162:6B o m o log t þ log fm o c t r 2   3:23 þ 0:87S
                                    w                    below the oil bubble-point pressure. Single-phase flow
                                                         dominates in undersaturated oil reservoirs and two-phase
               Equation 7.1 can be used for generating IPR curves for  flow prevails in saturated oil reservoirs. Different math-
               future time t before any reservoir boundary is reached by  ematical models have been used for time projection in
               the pressure wave from the wellbore. After all reservoir  production forecast for these two types of reservoirs, or
               boundaries are reached, either pseudo–steady-state flow or  the same reservoir at different stages of development
               steady-state flow should prevail depending on the types of  based on reservoir pressure. IPR changes over time due to
               reservoir boundaries. The time required for the pressure  the changes in gas saturation and fluid properties.
               wave to reach a circular reservoir boundary can be with
                       fmc t r 2
               t pss   1,200  e .
                        k                                7.3.1 Oil Production During Single-Phase Flow Period
                The same TPR is usually used in the transient flow period  Following a transient flow period and a transition time, oil
               assuming fluid properties remain the same in the well over  reservoirs continue to deliver oil through single-phase flow
               the period. Depending on the producing gas–liquid ratio  under a pseudo–steady-state flow condition. The IPR
               (GLR), the TPR model can be chosen from simple ones  changes with time because of the decline in reservoir pres-
               such as Poettmann–Carpenter and sophisticated ones such  sure, while the TPR may be considered constant because
               as the modified Hagedorn–Brown. It is essential to validate  fluid properties do not significantly vary above the bubble-
               the selected TPR model based on measured data such as
               flow gradient survey from local wells.    point pressure. The TPR model can be chosen from simple
                                                         ones such as Poettmann–Carpenter and sophisticated ones
                                                         such as the modified Hagedorn–Brown. The IPR model is
               Example Problem 7.1 Suppose a reservoir can produce
               oil under transient flow for the next 6 months. Predict oil  given by Eq. (3.7), in Chapter 3, that is,
               production rate and cumulative oil production over the  kh(   p   p wf )
                                                                   p
               6 months using the following data:        q ¼                  :              (7:2)
                                                                    1  4A
                                                            141:2B o m o 2  ln  gC A r 2 þ S
                                                                         w
                                                         The driving mechanism above the bubble-point pressure
               Reservoir porosity (f):  0.2              is essentially the oil expansion because oil is slightly
               Effective horizontal     10 md            compressible. The isothermal compressibility is defined as
                permeability (k):                            1 @V
               Pay zone thickness (h):  50 ft            c ¼     ,                           (7:3)
               Reservoir pressure ( p i ):  5,500 psia       V @p
               Oil formation volume     1.2 rb/stb       where V is the volume of reservoir fluid and p is pressure.
                factor (B o ):                           The isothermal compressibility c is small and essentially
               Total reservoir          0.000013 psi  1  constant for a given oil reservoir. The value of c can be
                compressibility (c t ):                  measured experimentally. By separating variables, integra-
               Wellbore radius (r w ):  0.328 ft         tion of Eq. (7.3) from the initial reservoir pressure p i to the
               Skin factor (S ):        0                current average-reservoir pressure   p results in
                                                                                p
               Well depth (H):          10,000 ft
               Tubing inner diameter (d ):  2.441        V   c(p i    p) p
               Oil gravity (API):       30 API             ¼ e   ,                           (7:4)
                                                         V i
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