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1.5 2.5 2                        8. The Polygenic Model  153
                                   QTL location score  1




                                    0.5


                                    0


                                   -0.5  5  10  15  20  25  30  40  45  55  60  65  70  75  80  85  90  100  105  110  120  125  130  135  140  145  150  155  160  170  175  180  190  195  205
                                     D12S372A  D12S397A  D12S391A  D12S373A  D12S1042  D12S1090  D12S390A  D12S375A  D12S379A  D12S393A  D12S395A  D12S2078  D12S1045  D12S392A
                                                        distance in centimorgans along chromosome 12
                                              FIGURE 8.1. QTL Location Score Curves









                                 Throughout the entire region on chromosome 12 the two factor and full
                               model yield almost identical QTL curves. This is hardly surprising since
                               the Pz and Cz leads are not only highly correlated but have similar QTL
                               curves when analyzed as single traits. In the region from 0 to 50 cM, the
                               one factor model is nearly identical to the full model. In this region, the
                               location score for MAOB analyzed alone is zero, and including this trait
                               contributes no new linkage information. From 50cM to nearly the end of the
                               chromosome the upper curve is distinct from the lower curve. In this region,
                               the linkage signals from MAOB and the Pz and Cz leads are sufficiently
                               different that two factors are more explanatory than one factor. Finally,
                               at the end of the chromosome all three curves nearly coincide again. This
                               suggests that a single QTL might determine the three traits in this region.
                                 Of course, the possibility of over-interpretation is real in this analysis
                               given the modest maxima of the curves. The reduced models do have the
                               advantage of parsimony and better precision in parameter estimates. Com-
                               pared to univariate QTL analysis, the Cholesky and factor analytic parame-
                               terizations appear to give bumpier likelihood surfaces. In our experience,
                               it is prudent to commence optimization from multiple starting points to
                               avoid being misled by inferior local modes.
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