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                                                                                   6-7 PROBABILITY PLOTS  217


                 Table 6-7  Champagne Sales in France
                  Month       1962      1963      1964       1965       1966      1967       1968       1969
                  Jan.       2.851      2.541     3.113      5.375     3.633      4.016      2.639      3.934
                  Feb.       2.672      2.475     3.006      3.088     4.292      3.957      2.899      3.162
                  Mar.       2.755      3.031     4.047      3.718     4.154      4.510      3.370      4.286
                  Apr.       2.721      3.266     3.523      4.514     4.121      4.276      3.740      4.676
                  May        2.946      3.776     3.937      4.520     4.647      4.968      2.927      5.010
                  June       3.036      3.230     3.986      4.539     4.753      4.677      3.986      4.874
                  July       2.282      3.028     3.260      3.663     3.965      3.523      4.217      4.633
                  Aug.       2.212      1.759     1.573      1.643     1.723      1.821      1.738      1.659
                  Sept.      2.922      3.595     3.528      4.739     5.048      5.222      5.221      5.591
                  Oct.       4.301      4.474     5.211      5.428     6.922      6.873      6.424      6.981
                  Nov.       5.764      6.838     7.614      8.314     9.858     10.803      9.842      9.851
                  Dec.       7.132      8.357     9.254     10.651     11.331    13.916     13.076     12.670



                 batch of size 50. During 40 days of production, 40 batches of  Construct a separate plot for each gasoline formulation, but
                 data were collected as follows:                 arrange the plots on the same axes. What tentative conclusions
                                                                 can you draw?
                 Read data across.
                                                                 6-84. Transformations. In some data sets, a transformation
                  9   12    6   9    7   14   12   4    6    7
                                                                 by some mathematical function applied to the original data,
                  8    5    9   7    8   11   3    6    7    7
                                                                 such as 1y  or log y, can result in data that are simpler to work
                 11    4    4   8    7    5   6    4    5    8
                                                                 with statistically than the original data. To illustrate the effect
                 19   19   18  12   11   17   15  17   13   13   of a transformation, consider the following data, which repre-
                 (a) Construct a stem-and-leaf plot of the data.  sent cycles to failure for a yarn product: 675, 3650, 175, 1150,
                 (b) Find the sample average and standard deviation.  290, 2000, 100, 375.
                 (c) Construct a time series plot of the data. Is there evidence  (a) Construct a normal probability plot and comment on the
                    that there was an increase or decrease in the average  shape of the data distribution.
                    number of nonconforming springs made during the 40  (b) Transform the data using logarithms; that is, let y* (new
                    days? Explain.                                  value) = log y (old value). Construct a normal probability
                                                                    plot of the transformed data and comment on the effect of
                 6-80.  A communication channel is being monitored by
                 recording the number of errors in a string of 1000 bits. Data  the transformation.
                 for 20 of these strings follow:                 6-85.  In 1879, A. A. Michelson made 100 determinations of
                                                                 the velocity of light in air using a modification of a method
                 Read data across.                               proposed by the French physicist Foucault. He made the
                 3    1    0    1   3    2    4    1   3    1    measurements in five trials of 20 measurements each. The ob-
                 1    1    2    3   3    2    0    2   0    1    servations (in kilometers per second) follow. Each value has
                                                                 299,000 substracted from it.
                 (a) Construct a stem-and-leaf plot of the data.
                 (b) Find the sample average and standard deviation.                 Trial 1
                 (c) Construct a time series plot of the data. Is there evidence
                    that there was an increase or decrease in the number of  850  900  930     950     980
                    errors in a string? Explain.                     1000     930     760     1000     960
                 6-81.  Reconsider the data in Exercise 6-76. Construct normal  740  1070  850  980    880
                 probability plots for two groups of the data: the first 40  and the  980  650  810  1000  960
                 last 40 observations. Construct both plots on the same axes.
                 What tentative conclusions can you draw?                            Trial 2
                 6-82.  Construct a normal probability plot of the effluent dis-
                                                                     960      960     880     850      900
                 charge temperature data from Exercise 6-47. Based on the
                                                                     830      810     880     800      760
                 plot, what tentative conclusions can you draw?
                                                                     940      940     800     880      840
                 6-83.  Construct normal probability plots of the cold start
                                                                     790      880     830     790      800
                 ignition time data presented in Exercises 6-44 and 6-56.
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