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                                                                     7-5 SAMPLING DISTRIBUTIONS OF MEANS  239


                                   population is required to be 300 milliliters. An engineer takes a random sample of 25 cans and
                                   computes the sample average fill volume to be x   298  milliliters. The engineer will probably
                                   decide that the population mean is    300 milliliters, even though the sample mean was
                                   298 milliliters because he or she knows that the sample mean is a reasonable estimate of   and
                                   that a sample mean of 298 milliliters is very likely to occur, even if the true population mean is
                                      300  milliliters. In fact, if the true mean is 300 milliliters, tests of 25 cans made repeatedly,
                                   perhaps every five minutes, would produce values of  that vary both above and below
                                                                              x
                                   300 milliliters.
                                       The sample mean is a statistic; that is, it is a random variable that depends on the results
                                   obtained in each particular sample. Since a statistic is a random variable, it has a probability
                                   distribution.


                          Definition
                                       The probability distribution of a statistic is called a sampling distribution.




                                       For example, the probability distribution of X  is called the sampling distribution of the
                                   mean.
                                       The sampling distribution of a statistic depends on the distribution of the population, the
                                   size of the sample, and the method of sample selection. The next section presents perhaps the
                                   most important sampling distribution. Other sampling distributions and their applications will
                                   be illustrated extensively in the following two chapters.



                 7-5   SAMPLING DISTRIBUTIONS OF MEANS

                                   Consider determining the sampling distribution of the sample mean  . Suppose that a random
                                                                                         X
                                                                                                    2
                                   sample of size n is taken from a normal population with mean   and variance   . Now each
                                   observation in this sample, say, X , X , p  ,  X , is a normally and independently distributed
                                                                        n
                                                                  2
                                                               1
                                                                         2
                                   random variable with mean    and variance    . Then by the reproductive property of the
                                   normal distribution, Equation 5-41 in Chapter 5, we conclude that the sample mean
                                                                       X    p    X
                                                                   X 1   2        n
                                                              X
                                                                          n
                                   has a normal distribution with mean
                                                                          p
                                                                        n
                                                              X
                                   and variance

                                                                      2
                                                                  2
                                                                          p     2     2
                                                             2

                                                             X          n 2         n
                                       If we are sampling from a population that has an unknown probability distribution, the
                                   sampling distribution of the sample mean will still be approximately normal with mean   and
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