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4  Parametric Tests of Hypotheses










           In  statistical  data analysis  an important  objective is the capability of making
           decisions about population distributions and statistics based on samples. In order to
           make such decisions a hypothesis is formulated, e.g. “is one manufacture method
           better than another?”, and tested using an appropriate  methodology.  Tests of
           hypotheses are an essential item in many scientific studies. In the present chapter
           we describe the most fundamental tests of hypotheses, assuming that the random
           variable distributions are known  − the so-called  parametric tests. We  will first,
           however, present a few important notions in section 4.1 that apply to parametric
           and to non-parametric tests alike.



           4.1  Hypothesis Test Procedure

           Any  hypothesis test procedure starts with the  formulation  of an interesting
           hypothesis concerning the distribution  of a certain random variable in the
           population. As a result of the test we obtain a decision rule, which allows us to
           either reject or accept the hypothesis with a certain probability of error, referred to
           as the level of significance of the test.
              In order to illustrate the basic steps of the test procedure, let us consider the
           following example. Two methods  of manufacturing a special type of drill,
           respectively  A and B, are  characterised  by the following average lifetime (in
           continuous work  without failure):  µ A  = 1100  hours and  µ B  = 1300  hours. Both
           methods have an equal standard deviation of the lifetime, σ = 270 hours. A new
           manufacturer  of the same type of  drills claims that his brand is  of a quality
           identical to the best one, B, and with lower manufacture costs. In order to assess
           this claim, a sample of 12 drills of the new brand were tested and yielded an
           average lifetime of  x  = 1260 hours. The interesting hypothesis to be analysed is
           that there is no difference between the new brand and the old brand B. We call it
           the null hypothesis and represent it by H 0. Denoting by µ the average lifetime of
           the new brand, we then formalise the test as:

              H 0:  µ =µ B =1300.
              H 1:  µ =µ A =1100.

              Hypothesis H 1 is a so-called  alternative hypothesis. There  can be  many
           alternative hypotheses, corresponding to µ ≠µ B. However, for the time being, we
           assume that µ =µ A is the only interesting alternative hypothesis. We also assume
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