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60                                     Autonomous Mobile Robots

                                2.4.4 Initial Range Spectra Prediction
                                The tools are now complete to simulate/predict RADAR spectra. In Figure 2.10,
                                                            2
                                an object with a known RCS (10 m ) is assumed to be at a distance of 10.25 m.
                                A Monte Carlo method has been used for simulating the noise in the figure.
                                                                             2
                                A Gaussian noise distribution with a variance of 26.57 dB is used when there is
                                signal presence, and during signal absence Weibull distributions with paramet-
                                ers explained in the previous section have been used. The values are obtained
                                from the experimental estimation of the noise distributions in target absence and
                                presence (Figure 2.7 and Figure 2.4.3). The simulated result of applying the
                                high pass 60 dB/decade filter is shown in Figure 2.11a. Analyzing the predicted
                                (Figure 2.11a) and actual range bin (Figure 2.11b) shows a slight mismatch in
                                the noise frequency with respect to range which is evident in the real spectra.
                                This mismatch is due to the phase noise throughout the entire range bin. The
                                phase noise, approximately quantified in Section 2.4.2, is taken into account
                                only during the parts of the range bin which are predicted to have targets, as
                                explained above. During sections of the range bin with no targets (i.e., beyond
                                11 m in Figure 2.11a) it is not modeled, since this part of the spectra is of little
                                interest in target estimation.
                                   A predicted and actual RADAR range spectra, obtained from an outdoor
                                environment, is shown in Figure 2.12. Figure 2.13a and b show the results of a
                                chi-squared test to determine any bias or inconsistency in the power–range
                                bin predictions. The difference between the measured and the predicted
                                range bins is plotted together with 99% confidence interval. The value of
                                99% bound, = ±16.35 dB, has been found experimentally by recording several
                                noisy power–range bins in target absence (RADAR pointing toward open space)
                                as explained previously (3 × steady state standard deviation of Figure 2.6b)
                                [15]. Close analysis of Figure 2.13a shows that the error has a negative bias.
                                This is due to the approximate assumption of the high pass filter gain. For the
                                RADAR used here, the gain of the high pass filter used in the predicted power–
                                range bins was set to 60 dB/decade, as explained earlier. Figure 2.13b shows
                                a chi-squared test on the difference between a measured bin and its predicted
                                bin with the mean high pass filter bias of Figure 2.6a subtracted. Although the
                                error in Figure 2.13b is less biased than Figure 2.13a, a gain of 60 dB/decade
                                with the small bias (Figure 2.13a) is still acceptable as most of the error values
                                are well within 99% confidence limit and also taking the high pass filter effect
                                role into consideration.
                                   A method for predicting the RADAR range spectra has been shown here
                                which can be used for predicting observations, based on an estimate of a targets
                                range and RCS value. Clearly a restriction of this method is that as a mobile
                                robot moves with respect to objects within the environment, range bins can only
                                be predicted assuming that the RCS does not change as the RADAR to target
                                angle of incidence changes. In general this is clearly not a valid assumption, but





                                 © 2006 by Taylor & Francis Group, LLC



                                 FRANKL: “dk6033_c002” — 2006/3/31 — 17:29 — page 60 — #20
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