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298                        Computational Statistics Handbook with MATLAB

                                   ˆ
                             where τ ij   represents the estimated posterior probability that point   belongs
                                                                                       x j
                                                ˆ ˆ
                                                  ,
                             to the i-th term,  φ x j µ i Σ i)   is the multivariate normal density for the i-th
                                             (
                                               ;
                                               , and
                             term evaluated at x j
                                                            c
                                                    ˆ         ˆ    ˆ  ˆ
                                                                     ,
                                                                (
                                                    f x () =  ∑  p φ x µ k Σ k)            (8.35)
                                                                   ;
                                                                  j
                                                              k
                                                      j
                                                          k =  1
                             is the finite mixture estimate at point x j  .
                              The posterior probability tells us the likelihood that a point belongs to each
                             of the separate component densities. We can use this estimated posterior
                             probability to obtain a weighted update of the parameters for each compo-
                             nent. This yields the iterative EM update equations for the mixing coeffi-
                             cients, the means and the covariance matrices. These are
                                                                n
                                                         ˆ
                                                         p i =  1 ∑  ˆ τ ij                (8.36)
                                                              ---
                                                              n
                                                               j =  1
                                                               n
                                                                 ˆ
                                                        ˆ    1   τ ijx j
                                                        µ i =  --- ∑  ---------            (8.37)
                                                                  ˆ
                                                             n    p i
                                                              j =  1
                                                        n                T
                                                                       ˆ
                                                                 ˆ
                                                          ˆ
                                                  ˆ   1   τ ij x j –(  µ i) x j –(  µ i)
                                                 Σ i =  --- ∑  ------------------------------------------------  .  (8.38)
                                                      n           ˆ p i
                                                       j =  1
                             Note that if d =  1,   then the update equation for the variance is
                                                            n  ˆ    ˆ  2
                                                     ˆ 2  1   τ ij x j –(  µ i)
                                                     σ i =  --- ∑  ---------------------------  .  (8.39)
                                                                  ˆ
                                                          n       p i
                                                           j =  1
                             The steps for the EM algorithm to estimate the parameters for a finite mixture
                             with multivariate normal components are given here and are illustrated in
                             Example 8.11.


                             FINITE MIXTURES - EM PROCEDURE
                                1. Determine the  number  of terms or component  densities  c in the
                                   mixture.






                            © 2002 by Chapman & Hall/CRC
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