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106                                               5 Time-Series Analysis

               plot(f,phase)
               xlabel('Frequency')
               ylabel('Phase angle')
               title('Phase spectrum')

            The phase shift at a frequency of f=0.01 (period 100 kyr)

               interp1(f,phase,0.01)
            which produces the output of

               ans = 0.2796

            The phase spectrum is normalized to a full period τ=2›. Hence, a phase
            shift of 0.2796 equals (0.2796*100 kyr)/(2*›) = 4.45 kyr. This corresponds
            roughly to the phase shift of 5 kyr introduced to the second data series with
            respect to the fi rst series.
               As a more comfortable tool for spectral analysis, the Signal Processing
            Toolbox also contains a GUI function named  sptool, which stands for
            Signal Processing Tool.



            5.6 Nonlinear Time-Series Analysis (by N. Marwan)

            The methods described in the previous sections detect linear relationships
            in the data. However, natural processes on the Earth often show a more
            complex and chaotic behavior. Methods based on linear techniques may
            therefore yield unsatisfying results. In the last decades, new techniques of
            nonlinear data analysis derived from chaos theory have become increasingly
            popular. As an example, methods have been employed to describe nonlinear

            behavior by defining, e.g., scaling laws and fractal dimensions of natural
            processes (Turcotte 1997, Kantz and Schreiber 1997). However, most meth-
            ods of nonlinear data analysis need either long or stationary data series.
            These requirements are often not satisfied in the earth sciences. While most

            nonlinear techniques work well on synthetic data, these methods fail to de-
            scribe nonlinear behavior in real data.
               In the last decade, recurrence plots as a new method of nonlinear data
            analysis have become very popular in science and engineering (Eckmann
            1987). Recurrence is a fundamental property of dissipative dynamical sy-
            stems. Although small disturbations of such a system cause exponentially
            divergence of its state, after some time the system will come back to a state
            that is arbitrary close to a former state and pass through a similar evolution.
            Recurrence plots allow to visualize such a recurrent behavior of dynamical
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