Page 46 - Managing Global Warming

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Scenario 9: 2°C: Worst plausible outcome—emissions peak in 2040 and stabilize at 10Gt(C)/yr by 2056, GGR starts in 2030 and reaches 14.7Gt
Cumulative emissions (Gt(C))
1000
1200
Net emissions (Gt(C) year –1 )
800
200
400
600
2100
Annual and cumulative emissions
2090
projections 2014–2100
2080
2070
Cumulative emissions (Gt(C))
2060
GGR (Gt(C) year –1 )
2050
2040
2030
2020
Emissions (Gt(C) year –1 )
2010
Target cum emissions
15
10
20
5
–10
0
–5
–15
14.7 Gt(C) year –1 in 2089
–1
Peak GGR
TFC
2100 Annual emissions/GGR (Gt(C) year ) 0 –20 Managing Global Warming
2090 2080 TFC/year (EJ)
Annual energy projections 2014–2100 2070 2060 2050 ZEE/year (EJ)
2030 2040 FF/year (EJ)
2020 0 2010
—cont’d 2089. 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 Total final consumption (EJ) 200
2.2 by +2°C ZEE index 12
Box (C)/yr